Winless in his last six, Jenever nonetheless brings distance and going experience, a sharp 21-day turnaround and a promising speed rating of 89 that outstrips his official mark — the third last time out the most encouraging sign; the risk is that elusive winning form.
Form last 6565783
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR78RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Sixtygeesbaby nevertheless catches the eye as the top-rated runner here, with his speed rating of 86 pointing to untapped potential; he has experience of today's trip and going, and 21 days between runs leaves him fresh.
Form last 6050855
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Stirrup Cup landed a win two starts back but has since finished fifth, and 55 days off the track is a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 140 lb from stall eight.
Form last 6-23915
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR74RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent without being a winner, Another Investment has finished second in three of his last five starts and has run over today's trip and going before; winless in recent starts, he carries 139 lb from stall three, but his current form gives him every chance of finally getting his head in front.
Form last 6-00222
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR74RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Maldevious arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her solid claims here; third three starts back adds further encouragement, though her two ninths in recent starts are the form query to overcome.
Form last 6944391
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten fifth and seventh in his last six starts offset the two wins in that span, and carrying 137 lb from stall nine on a mark of 65 makes this a tough ask; he has run over today's trip and going before, but ranked seventh of nine on our figures, he's hard to fancy.
Form last 6871531
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts, with a pair of seconds the only bright spots amid a sequence that reads poorly, and an eighth last time out just five days ago gives little confidence she's on the upgrade; she has run over today's trip and going, but remains hard to fancy ranked last on our figures.
Form last 6752728
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR66RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Showtown has slipped back over his last three starts — fourth and fifth before an eighth last time — and has experience of today's distance and going; carrying 130 lb from stall four, he looks a lively threat, though 41 days off and being winless in recent starts are the concerns to weigh.
Form last 6-20458
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR76RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last six starts, with a third three runs back his only recent encouragement, Valentine Catcher has since finished seventh and ninth, and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, he faces a stiff task off 129 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6264397
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR69RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Maldevious owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Brian EllisonBen Robinson
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jenever
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Jessica Macey✓ Value Signal
Valentine Catcher
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · Tim Easterby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jenever (SR:78, 3/1) carries 10-0 but has steamed in 27% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — suggesting informed money is behind this run. The MarkMv:-5 indicates a lower mark than at last win, giving connections a clear handicapping edge. Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 1295 career runs) is a strong booking on a northern circuit like Carlisle. The negatives — DistFit:- and GoingFit:- — are real concerns, but the weight of market signal and the dropped mark make this a horse to follow rather than oppose at 3/1.
Each-way alternative: Sixtygeesbaby.
Main danger: Sixtygeesbaby — Sixtygeesbaby (SR:73, 11/2) has steamed in 28% — the joint-biggest move in the field — and David O'Meara placing a 4-year-old with recent sharp market support in a Class 5 handicap is a strong yard signal that deserves serious respect, even with DistFit:- matching Jenever's weakness.
ShortlistJenever, Sixtygeesbaby, Another Investment, Maldevious