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Dublin To Bahrain Fillies Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Bella Colombia
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Bella Colombia (SR 89, 11/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives in peak form with a 2-1-1 sequence across her last three outings — the strongest recent form line on the card. At 8-13 she is the lightest-weighted runner in the field, giving her a meaningful pounds advantage over the two joint-rated SR-84 rivals and even Thrifty Of Digby (SR 86) who carries 6lb more. Ben Coen's 12% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race, and DistFit:+ confirms she handles this mile trip. The market hasn't moved sharply against her, and while GoingFit:? means her form on Good to Firm is unproven, her recent winning sequence suggests a filly in career-best form rather than one dependent on softer ground. Each-way alternative: Duchess Of Kenli. Main danger: Duchess Of Kenli — Duchess Of Kenli (SR 84, 2/1) is a lightly-raced 3-year-old from the Joseph O'Brien yard, her form reads 6-1 with a last-time-out win, the market has tightened 7% to 2/1, and 3-year-olds with improving profiles regularly outperform their ratings on Good to Firm ground in August handicaps.
Full result
Winner: Tachos (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tachos 9/2
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2
Thrifty Of Digby Fox #3 6/1
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3
Bella Colombia Fox #1 5/1
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4
Glory To Be Fox #4 12/1
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5
Marmeladova 16/1
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6
Pink Oxalis 9/1
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7
Mallavelly 15/2
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8
Duchess Of Kenli Fox #2 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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4