Pink Oxalis arrives here 21 days on from her latest outing in solid nick, and has run over today's trip and conditions before; a second two starts back gives her claims, and a rating of 96 makes her the one to beat, though she remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 6035625
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR96RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mallavelly has been placed twice in her last three, third two starts back and runner-up three starts back, and she returns on a quick turnaround having run over today's trip and going; the risk is that a sixth last time out raises questions about consistency.
Form last 6-07236
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR96RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner two starts back and placed three starts back, Glory To Be arrives here with experience over today's trip and going, and her rating of 89 marks her as a lively threat; the main concern is that unplaced effort last time out.
Form last 6795210
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR89RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and her speed rating gives little encouragement, though she does bring a win last time out and has run over today's trip, with 26 days between runs suggesting she arrives fresh.
Form last 66-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR70RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third last time out is encouraging, but a pull-up two starts back is a concern; Thrifty Of Digby has run over today's trip and her two wins in her last six starts show she can find the line, though 131 lb makes life harder from stall four.
Form last 60811P3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR86RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Marmeladova showed she retains ability with a win three starts back, but sixth last time out and a quick five-day turnaround give pause; she has run over today's trip and going, and 128 lb from stall seven keeps her squarely in the midfield mix.
Form last 6432106
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR85RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bella Colombia sits at the foot of our rankings in a field of eight, and while she carries 125 lb from stall 5 and has run over today's distance and going before, it is hard to look past a rating well below most of her rivals despite back-to-back wins in recent starts.
Form last 6352311
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR80RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tachos shaped with plenty of promise when third last time out, and her experience over today's trip and going counts in her favour from stall one carrying 122 lb; the risk is that she remains winless in her last five starts.
Form last 6-69053
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR87RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bella Colombia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1W McCreeryBen Coen
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Thrifty Of Digby
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Mrs John Harrington✓ Value Signal
Marmeladova
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · K J Condon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Bella Colombia (SR 89, 11/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives in peak form with a 2-1-1 sequence across her last three outings — the strongest recent form line on the card. At 8-13 she is the lightest-weighted runner in the field, giving her a meaningful pounds advantage over the two joint-rated SR-84 rivals and even Thrifty Of Digby (SR 86) who carries 6lb more. Ben Coen's 12% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the race, and DistFit:+ confirms she handles this mile trip. The market hasn't moved sharply against her, and while GoingFit:? means her form on Good to Firm is unproven, her recent winning sequence suggests a filly in career-best form rather than one dependent on softer ground.
Each-way alternative: Duchess Of Kenli.
Main danger: Duchess Of Kenli — Duchess Of Kenli (SR 84, 2/1) is a lightly-raced 3-year-old from the Joseph O'Brien yard, her form reads 6-1 with a last-time-out win, the market has tightened 7% to 2/1, and 3-year-olds with improving profiles regularly outperform their ratings on Good to Firm ground in August handicaps.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Bella Colombia's market move is +8 (drifting out), the largest drift in the field — money is clearly going elsewhere, notably to Duchess Of Kenli (in 7%) at 2/1, suggesting informed money doesn't tru…
GoingFit:? means her winning sequence has NOT been proven on Good to Firm; Leopardstown in August is likely fast ground, and this unproven suitability is a material unknown on her biggest day.
Duchess Of Kenli (SR 84, JP O'Brien/McDonogh, 2/1 market mover in) has a short, sharp form line of 6-1 — the '1' being very recent — and the O'Brien/McDonogh combination at 15%/8% strike rates outgun…
Despite carrying 8-13 (lightest in field), Bella Colombia is only joint-third in the betting at 11/2, the same price as Thrifty Of Digby who has 6lb more — the weight edge is not being rewarded by th…
ShortlistBella Colombia, Duchess Of Kenli, Thrifty Of Digby, Glory To Be
Each-way: Duchess Of KenliDanger: Duchess Of Kenli