← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Pride Of Place
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Pride Of Place (SR:98, 6/1) is the most compelling case in a wide-open 19-runner handicap. The MarkMv:-10 is the single most striking data point in the field — running off a mark 10lb lower than last win is a significant handicapper's gift in a hurdle handicap at this level. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, which is a genuine edge over the majority of rivals who show GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-. Trainer Bolger runs at 14% and jockey Charlie O'Dwyer has an above-average 17% strike rate in a small but meaningful sample, and Course:W0P1 gives some familiarity with Kilbeggan. The 11% market drift is noted, but this may reflect the 42 days off and the P in the form string rather than any fundamental concern — the drop in mark compensates materially for that layoff. Each-way alternative: Blue Reed. Main danger: Mysilverriverfeale — Mysilverriverfeale (SR:99, 13/2) has the joint-highest SR in the field, carries a manageable 11-8, and the recent form of '8-5241' shows a horse moving in the right direction — the last run '1' is a win — though MarkMv:+4 and a 7% drift temper enthusiasm slightly.
Full result
Winner: Bhean Saibhre (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bhean Saibhre 14/1
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2
Cloonainra 18/1
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3
Blue Reed Fox #2 13/2
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4
Magic Day 8/1
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5
The Monkey Pole 28/1
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6
Paul Collins 28/1
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7
Diamond Tipp 15/2
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8
Mysilverriverfeale Fox #3 7/1
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9
Malikanna 14/1
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10
Emesteraye 13/2
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11
Parkgarve Fox #4 7/1
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12
Somersby Roost 20/1
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Cocovic 12/1
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Pride Of Place Fox #1 6/1
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Secret Rock 28/1
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Solar Generation 20/1
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Kome Dans Un Reve 22/1
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Steps In The Sand SP
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Andyourbirdcansing SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Pride Of Place 6/1
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2
Blue Reed 13/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Mysilverriverfeale 13/2 8TH
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4
Parkgarve 7/1 11TH