Cloonainra shapes as a leading threat on our rating, which has her nine pounds clear of her official mark, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that she has been winless in her last five starts, and 166 lb is a hefty burden to overcome.
Form last 6845-07
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR119RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Magic Day comes here in fine heart after finishing second last time out and third three starts back, and with experience of today's distance and going she rates a strong each-way threat at 166 lb — though she remains yet to win in recent starts, which is the lingering concern.
Form last 6503-62
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR113RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mysilverriverfeale won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but a mark of 106 and a hefty 162 lb burden make her task considerably tougher here, and her overall recent form — a win aside — has been patchy.
Form last 68-5241
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR102RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Somersby Roost has run over today's trip and going, and a win three starts back offers a form lifeline, but consecutive pulled-up efforts last time out and two starts back are impossible to ignore for a mare carrying 162 lb.
Form last 630-1PP
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
80SR106RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Ran well to finish second last time out, but a pulled up three starts back clouds her recent consistency; she has run over today's trip and going, and at 161 lb there is plenty to carry, though an official mark of 105 leaves a little room for optimism.
Form last 61-4P82
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR108RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Cocovic ran a solid third two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a genuine threat off a mark of 105 with our rating suggesting he holds more in hand than his record implies; the main concern is a 50-day absence.
Form last 6229-35
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR112RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pride Of Place shaped well to finish third last time out, with a win three starts back highlighting his class, and experience over today's trip and going works in his favour; the 161 lb burden is the one query, but his rating of 125 marks him as the one to beat in a field of 19.
Form last 698-1P3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR125RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Secret Rock won three starts back but has since disappointed, finishing unplaced and ninth in his last two outings; he has run over today's going before and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround, though his recent downturn makes confidence difficult at 160 lb.
Form last 6/5-109
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR105RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistently placed in her last three starts, Emesteraye arrives here 23 days fresh and has run over today's going before, though she remains yet to win in recent starts and her 159 lb burden is a significant ask against 18 rivals.
Form last 608-333
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR109RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Paul Collins at least showed a flash of form when third two runs back, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; the 159 lb burden is a stiff ask for a horse whose recent profile is patchy at best.
Form last 600-P30
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
70SR110RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last five starts and with a couple of pulled-up efforts in recent starts, Diamond Tipp faces questions about consistency, though her second last time out and experience over today's trip and going offer some encouragement, and an official rating of 102 gives her a squeak at these weights.
Form last 68P-8P2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR108RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last five starts and having pulled up two runs back, The Monkey Pole faces a stiff ask carrying 158 lb, though a return to third last time out shows some resilience and he has experience of today's trip and conditions.
Form last 694-4P3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR107RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Parkgarve has shown only sporadic encouragement in recent starts, finishing out of the frame in three of his last four before that latest win, and ranked fourteenth of nineteen on our figures he faces a stiff task at 155 lb.
Form last 6-86541
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
96SR99RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, though a second three starts back offers some encouragement; Malikanna has distance and going experience in her favour, but a career-high 153 lb and a ranking of twelfth of nineteen in the field make the challenge substantial.
Form last 6F92-68
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR103RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Blue Reed has placed twice in his last five starts, including a runner-up finish last time out, but ranked 15 of 19 on our figures he faces a stiff task at the weights under 151 lb, and the seventh two starts back hints at inconsistency.
Form last 65-1272
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR98RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, Solar Generation is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's going before and a return from 98 days off occasionally sparks improvement.
Form last 600-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR95RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Kome Dans Un Reve offers little appeal here — that said, he returns on a quick eight-day turnaround and has run over today's going before, which are about the only positives to cling to.
Form last 6/U8-06
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR83RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 16 of 19 on our figures, Steps In The Sand faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and her third two starts back shows she can get competitive on her day.
Form last 688-434
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR97RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked 18 of 19 on our figures and returned unplaced last time out, Andyourbirdcansing is hard to fancy with a trainer who has drawn a blank in 20 attempts over the past fortnight; experience over today's trip and going offers some consolation, as does her win two starts back.
Form last 6-56510
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR92RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pride Of Place owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1E BolgerCharlie O'Dwyer(3)
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Parkgarve
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Ian Patrick Donoghue✓ Value Signal
Paul Collins
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Brian M McMahon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Pride Of Place (SR:98, 6/1) is the most compelling case in a wide-open 19-runner handicap. The MarkMv:-10 is the single most striking data point in the field — running off a mark 10lb lower than last win is a significant handicapper's gift in a hurdle handicap at this level. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, which is a genuine edge over the majority of rivals who show GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-. Trainer Bolger runs at 14% and jockey Charlie O'Dwyer has an above-average 17% strike rate in a small but meaningful sample, and Course:W0P1 gives some familiarity with Kilbeggan. The 11% market drift is noted, but this may reflect the 42 days off and the P in the form string rather than any fundamental concern — the drop in mark compensates materially for that layoff.
Each-way alternative: Blue Reed.
Main danger: Mysilverriverfeale — Mysilverriverfeale (SR:99, 13/2) has the joint-highest SR in the field, carries a manageable 11-8, and the recent form of '8-5241' shows a horse moving in the right direction — the last run '1' is a win — though MarkMv:+4 and a 7% drift temper enthusiasm slightly.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG:b (best on soft/heavy) directly conflicts with today's good ground — GoingFit:+ may overstate comfort on quicker surface if that win came on completely different conditions.
42-day absence combined with a 'P' (pulled up) latest run suggests a physical issue or training setback; jockey Charlie O'Dwyer's tiny 24-ride sample makes the 17% strike rate statistically fragile.
11% market drift is the joint-largest drift in the field — in a race where connections would know the MarkMv:-10 advantage, smart-money absence is a meaningful red flag specific to this horse's readi…
19-runner field with rivals Blue Reed (SR:101, 13/2, recent form 1272) and Mysilverriverfeale (SR:99, 13/2, won last time out 28 days ago) both showing higher or equal SR and fresher, more progressiv…
ShortlistPride Of Place, Blue Reed, Mysilverriverfeale, Parkgarve