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Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
St Mawes
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
St Mawes (SR:89, 7/4) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries a competitive 10-1 — only 1lb more than Howth despite a 4lb SR advantage over him. The market has steamed in 21%, the sharpest move in the race, which on a Class 4 Chester handicap is meaningful money. A DistFit:+ confirms he handles this 1m7f+ trip, the class drop of two tiers gives him a significant edge in ease of task, and the George Scott/Billy Loughnane combination (18%/19% strike rates) is a sharp pairing. The void run in the form string (V) is a non-event; the 1 and 3 either side show he has ability and a recent placed effort keeps him race-fit off 22 days. Each-way alternative: Sea And Sun. Main danger: Sea And Sun — Sea And Sun (SR:86, 3/1) has steamed in 25%, carries a featherweight 9-2 — 13lb less than St Mawes — and drops two class tiers as a 3yo, giving him a potential weight and freshness advantage that could overcome the SR deficit on this galloping Chester circuit.
Full result
Winner: Cranachan (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cranachan Fox #4 13/2
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2
Sea And Sun Fox #2 2/1
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3
St Mawes Fox #1 6/4
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4
Kuredu King 33/1
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5
Westerton 25/1
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6
Midnight Rumble 66/1
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7
Dino Bellagio 12/1
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8
Venezuelan 28/1
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Howth Fox #3 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4