St Mawes
SpeculativeSt Mawes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Celebrate National Racehorse Week Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m7f196y
SR 85 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Howth | 10/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 St Mawes | 6/4 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 11/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Kuredu King | 33/1 open 13.00 | 30/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 William Hill |
| 4 Westerton | 25/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Midnight Rumble | 66/1 open 10.00 | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 12.00 | 50/1 open 12.00 | 66/1 open 12.00 | 66/1 open 15.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Venezuelan | 28/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dino Bellagio | 12/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 8 Cranachan | 13/2 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.33 | 13/2 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Sea And Sun | 2/1 open 6.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 2/1 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
St Mawes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
St Mawes (SR:89, 7/4) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries a competitive 10-1 — only 1lb more than Howth despite a 4lb SR advantage over him. The market has steamed in 21%, the sharpest move in the race, which on a Class 4 Chester handicap is meaningful money. A DistFit:+ confirms he handles this 1m7f+ trip, the class drop of two tiers gives him a significant edge in ease of task, and the George Scott/Billy Loughnane combination (18%/19% strike rates) is a sharp pairing. The void run in the form string (V) is a non-event; the 1 and 3 either side show he has ability and a recent placed effort keeps him race-fit off 22 days. Each-way alternative: Sea And Sun. Main danger: Sea And Sun — Sea And Sun (SR:86, 3/1) has steamed in 25%, carries a featherweight 9-2 — 13lb less than St Mawes — and drops two class tiers as a 3yo, giving him a potential weight and freshness advantage that could overcome the SR deficit on this galloping Chester circuit.