← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Matchbook Exchange Irish EBF Fillies Maiden
Mr Fox’s call
Argentarius
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Argentarius carries the highest SR in the field at 158 — a clear 5-point edge over Formous (SR 153) and 6 over Red Primrose (SR 152) — and at 15/8 the market already reflects her as a clear favourite. Her form figures of 24 show she has already run twice on the track and been competitive, giving her a decisive experience edge over the majority of debutantes in this 16-runner field. Shane Foley (11%, 900 career runners) is a reliable booking. The 8% drift is a mild concern, but in a maiden dominated by first-time runners, her race experience and SR superiority make her the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Formous. Main danger: Formous — Formous (SR 153, 4/1) is a Joseph O'Brien debutante who has been backed in 26% from opening — by far the strongest market move in the race — and O'Brien's yard runs at 16% strike rate from a large sample of 1,621 runners, suggesting this filly arrives with serious ability behind her.
Full result
Winner: Timeless Tale (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Timeless Tale 18/1
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2
Film Set 7/2
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3
Pink Venom 16/1
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4
Argentarius Fox #1 15/8
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5
Formous Fox #2 5/2
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6
Stormy Dawn 150/1
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7
Alfresco Fox #4 16/1
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8
Red Primrose Fox #3 6/1
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9
A Girl Named Sioux 100/1
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10
Lady H 28/1
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11
Fahrana 28/1
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12
Katsuit 100/1
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13
Sorrento Sunset 50/1
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14
Sadie Rose 150/1
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15
Annie Tips 66/1
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—
Zelente 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Argentarius 15/8 🏁 4TH
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2
Formous 4/1 5TH
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3
Red Primrose 5/1 8TH
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4
Alfresco 10/1 7TH