Matchbook Exchange Irish EBF Fillies Maiden · 0m5f205y
SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 134 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 A Girl Named Sioux | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Alfresco | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Annie Tips | 66/1 open 34.00 | 70/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 70/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Argentarius | 15/8 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Fahrana | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Film Set | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Formous | 5/2 open 6.00 | 5/2 open 8.00 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Katsuit | 100/1 open 81.00 | 110/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 110/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Lady H | 28/1 open 17.00 | 30/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Pink Venom | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Red Primrose | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Sadie Rose | 150/1 open 201.00 | 150/1 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Sorrento Sunset | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Stormy Dawn | 150/1 open 201.00 | 150/1 | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Timeless Tale | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Zelente | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Argentarius owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Argentarius carries the highest SR in the field at 158 — a clear 5-point edge over Formous (SR 153) and 6 over Red Primrose (SR 152) — and at 15/8 the market already reflects her as a clear favourite. Her form figures of 24 show she has already run twice on the track and been competitive, giving her a decisive experience edge over the majority of debutantes in this 16-runner field. Shane Foley (11%, 900 career runners) is a reliable booking. The 8% drift is a mild concern, but in a maiden dominated by first-time runners, her race experience and SR superiority make her the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Formous. Main danger: Formous — Formous (SR 153, 4/1) is a Joseph O'Brien debutante who has been backed in 26% from opening — by far the strongest market move in the race — and O'Brien's yard runs at 16% strike rate from a large sample of 1,621 runners, suggesting this filly arrives with serious ability behind her.