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Bective Stud, Hotel & Tea Rooms Mullacurry Cup Handicap Hurdle

17:35 Bellewstown Wed 26 Aug 2026 2m4f110y Good 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Liam Swagger silks

Liam Swagger

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 22%

Mr Fox says

Liam Swagger (SR:111, 13/2) is the standout market mover in this field, steaming in 27% from opening — by far the strongest market signal in the race and a clear indicator of stable confidence from William Durkan's yard (14% strike rate). At 5 years old with a form line of 1123/ showing consistent competitiveness including a recent win, this is a progressive young horse dropping down to 11-9 — a favourable weight in a field where the top-raters are burdened considerably higher. Final Orders (SR:124) holds the class lead but ran 137 days ago off a mark 25lb below his last win and has drifted 6%; Red Glory (SR:118) carries 11-12 top-weight on going it demonstrably dislikes (GoingFit:-) and has drifted 8%. The 27% market move into Liam Swagger, combined with youth, progressive form, and a relatively light burden, outweighs the modest SR deficit against the nominal class leader. Each-way alternative: Final Orders. Main danger: Heroes Rise — Jack Kennedy's 19% career strike rate is the best jockey booking in the field, and Gordon Elliott's 15% yard strike rate gives Heroes Rise (SR:115, 8/1) genuine each-way claims if returning fresh from a break in good order.

Verify· #14329

Full result

Winner: Elusive Ogie (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Elusive Ogie silks Elusive Ogie Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Daniel King 10/1
  2. 2 Avalo silks Avalo Peter Fahey · Mark Walsh 10/1
  3. 3 Serienmond silks Serienmond Gary McGill · Mr D McGill(7) 7/1
  4. 4 Chanceawetmorning silks Chanceawetmorning Gordon Elliott · James Smith(5) 9/1
  5. 5 Theflyingbee silks Theflyingbee Fox #4 F G Hand · Mr J R Martin(7) 11/2
  6. 6 Camlin Park silks Camlin Park John C McConnell · Alex Harvey 10/1
  7. 7 Heroes Rise silks Heroes Rise Fox #3 Gordon Elliott · Jack Kennedy 10/1
  8. 8 Final Orders silks Final Orders Fox #2 Gavin Cromwell · Keith Donoghue 14/1
  9. 9 Dreal Deal silks Dreal Deal P J Rothwell · Conor Clarke(7) 25/1
  10. — Red Glory silks Red Glory Henry De Bromhead · Darragh O'Keeffe 9/2
  11. — Liam Swagger silks Liam Swagger Fox #1 William Durkan · Philip Byrnes 13/2
  12. — Arctic Flame silks Arctic Flame Patrick T Foley · Simon Torrens 11/1
  13. — Barrys Spirit silks Barrys Spirit Adrian Murray · Sean Flanagan 22/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Liam Swagger silks Liam Swagger 13/2
  2. 2 Final Orders silks Final Orders 10/1 8TH
  3. 3 Heroes Rise silks Heroes Rise 8/1 7TH
  4. 4 Theflyingbee silks Theflyingbee 6/1 5TH