← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Furness Rda Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
Ghasham
SPECULATIVE Advised SP Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Ghasham holds the most coherent recent form in this weak Class 5 field: a form string of 2213V3 shows consistent competitiveness, a drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) gives him an edge, and the market has shortened 9% confirming quiet support. At SR:79 he is not the highest-rated horse — Judicial Review leads on SR:82 — but Ghasham carries 12-0 versus Judicial Review's 10-7, which is a substantial weight burden. However, Judicial Review's connections concerns (Callum Bewley at just 3% strike rate from 37 rides) and the fact he ran only 2 days ago raise freshness doubts, whereas Ghasham ran 16 days ago and drops in class. The trainer Sam England (15%) and jockey Jonathan England (19%) represent a competent combination, and the going fitness is moderate (GoingFit:~) rather than a negative. Each-way alternative: Getaway Jewel. Main danger: Judicial Review — Judicial Review holds the field's highest SR at 82, carries a featherweight 10-7, and has been backed in 19% since opening — the market money on the Moffatt yard #1 is not to be ignored despite the very short turnaround of 2 days and a weak jockey booking.
Full result
Winner: Achille Des Rocs (FR) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Achille Des Rocs 11/2
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2
Ghasham Fox #1 9/4
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3
Cuzco Du Mathan 11/4
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4
Getaway Jewel Fox #3 5/1
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Forcetoreckonwith Fox #4 6/1
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Wearelongterm 14/1
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Judicial Review Fox #2 9/2
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Blazing Court -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ghasham SP 🥈 2ND
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2
Judicial Review 9/2
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3
Getaway Jewel SP 🏁 4TH
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4
Forcetoreckonwith SP