Cartmel 17:30 RESULTED
Class 5 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Furness Rda Handicap Steeple Chase

Furness Rda Handicap Steeple Chase · 2m1f61y

Official Result

Furness Rda Handicap Steeple Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Achille Des Rocs (FR) Danny McMenamin · L J Morgan
    6/1
  2. Second Ghasham (IRE)
    7/4F
  3. 100/30
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Southwell (AW)

13:32–17:35 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:45–17:45 · 8 races

Epsom

13:50–17:15 · 7 races

Ripon

13:55–17:50 · 8 races

Downpatrick

14:12–17:39 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:35–17:30 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–19:55 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ghasham silks
Ghasham
Age 7 · 12-0
2213V3
100
79
101
7
12-0
9/4 9/4 2/1
Ghasham arrives on the back of a third last time out and a win four starts back, and has experience of today's trip and going; the weight of 168 lb is the one factor punters will watch closely.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

2
Achille Des Rocs silks
Achille Des Rocs
Age 7 · 11-10
5/P-PP
96
69
106
7
11-10
11/2 7/1 5/1
Rated highest in the field here and carrying 164 lb, Achille Des Rocs has run over today's trip and returns after a 40-day break that may have freshened him; the stark concern is three consecutive pulls-up in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

3
Forcetoreckonwith silks
Forcetoreckonwith
Age 7 · 11-6
43214-
92
73
90
7
11-6
6/1 11/2 5/1
Forcetoreckonwith showed plenty of ability when winning two starts back and was a close second three starts back, underlining her claims here, and she has experience on today's going; the chief concern is a 130-day absence since that fourth-place return.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cuzco Du Mathan silks
Cuzco Du Mathan
Age 8 · 11-4
644-78
90
75
105
8
11-4
11/4 4/1 5/2
Cuzco Du Mathan has run over today's trip and going, returns after 44 days off, and our rating of 105 puts him second of these on the figures, though he'll need to find improvement on recent starts to end a winless run.
AI verdict

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

5
Wearelongterm silks
Wearelongterm
Age 9 · 10-9
635-P7
81
59
83
9
10-9
14/1 14/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a pulled-up among recent efforts, Wearelongterm is hard to fancy from a rating rank of seventh of eight; he has run over today's going before and 42 days between runs at least suggests he returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Getaway Jewel silks
Getaway Jewel
Age 12 · 10-8
-23221
80
70
78
12
10-8
5/1 11/4 5/1
Ranked bottom of eight on our figures, Getaway Jewel is hard to fancy despite a lively recent record that includes a win last time out and placed finishes in all five of his last starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Judicial Review silks
Judicial Review
Age 8 · 10-7
67P257
79
82
84
8
10-7
9/2 11/2 9/2
Judicial Review has been winless in his last six starts, though a second three starts back offers some encouragement; the concern is that he finished seventh last time out just two days ago, and carrying 147 lb tests his stamina despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Blazing Court silks
Blazing Court
Age 8 · 10-7
-UP720
79
64
87
8
10-7
SP 12/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and back out just two days after his latest unplaced effort, Blazing Court faces a quick turnaround; he has run over today's trip and going, and a second two starts back offers some encouragement, but 147 lb is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ghasham 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 Bet365
2 Achille Des Rocs 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 6/1 Paddy Power
3 Forcetoreckonwith 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 6/1 Bet365
4 Cuzco Du Mathan 11/4 open 6.50 5/2 open 7.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 11/4 Bet365
5 Wearelongterm 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Getaway Jewel 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 Bet365
7 Judicial Review 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
8 Blazing Court 18/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ghasham

Speculative

Ghasham owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Sam England Jonathan England
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Judicial Review

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · James Moffatt
✓ Value Signal

Blazing Court

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · John Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Ghasham
54.2 9/4
2 7. Judicial Review
53.9 9/2
3 4. Cuzco Du Mathan
53.5 11/4
4 2. Achille Des Rocs
51.4 11/2
5 3. Forcetoreckonwith
50.0 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ghasham
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 12-0
9/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

4
Age 8 · 11-4
11/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

7
Age 8 · 10-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 12 · 10-8
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-10
11/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

3
Age 7 · 11-6
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 10-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ghasham
Confidence: Speculative

Ghasham holds the most coherent recent form in this weak Class 5 field: a form string of 2213V3 shows consistent competitiveness, a drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) gives him an edge, and the market has shortened 9% confirming quiet support. At SR:79 he is not the highest-rated horse — Judicial Review leads on SR:82 — but Ghasham carries 12-0 versus Judicial Review's 10-7, which is a substantial weight burden. However, Judicial Review's connections concerns (Callum Bewley at just 3% strike rate from 37 rides) and the fact he ran only 2 days ago raise freshness doubts, whereas Ghasham ran 16 days ago and drops in class. The trainer Sam England (15%) and jockey Jonathan England (19%) represent a competent combination, and the going fitness is moderate (GoingFit:~) rather than a negative. Each-way alternative: Getaway Jewel. Main danger: Judicial Review — Judicial Review holds the field's highest SR at 82, carries a featherweight 10-7, and has been backed in 19% since opening — the market money on the Moffatt yard #1 is not to be ignored despite the very short turnaround of 2 days and a weak jockey booking.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ghasham carries 12-0 — the joint-heaviest weight in the field — at Cartmel, a sharp, undulating track where top weight is a well-documented disadvantage in staying handicaps.
  • His form string includes a 'V' (void/fell/unseated?) and a third placing most recently; the last win came several runs ago, suggesting he finds ways to get beaten when it matters.
  • Course record is W0P1 — he has tried Cartmel before without winning, which is a specific negative at this idiosyncratic track where course specialists dominate.
  • Getaway Jewel (Form:-23221, 12 days, Brian Hughes 16%) is in red-hot form with five consecutive placings including a recent win, and carries 3st 6lb less than Ghasham — a massive weight pull at this…
Shortlist Ghasham, Judicial Review, Getaway Jewel, Forcetoreckonwith
Each-way: Getaway Jewel Danger: Judicial Review

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m1f61y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade