← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tom's Big Bike Ride Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Connie's Rose
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Connie's Rose (SR:69, 9/4) is the Grace Harris yard's clear #1 runner — Hutchinson booked over the yard's other two riders, carrying the lightest weight of the trio at 9-8, and the market has steamed in 41% to confirm stable confidence. The MarkMv:-3 means she's running off a mark 3lb below her last win, a material advantage in a Class 5 sprint, and she brings proven GoingFit:~ on good-to-soft plus Course:W1P13 at Chepstow — that course record across 14 visits is substantial specialist evidence. The ClassMv:↑1 is a mild concern but the weight relief and market move outweigh it; the tp headgear (tongue-tie and cheekpieces) suggests the yard has a specific setup for this horse today. Each-way alternative: Level Up. Main danger: Level Up — Level Up (SR:69, 5/1) has steamed in 17% with a visor first-time on board, holds Course:W1P1 at Chepstow, and ran just 3 days ago suggesting peak fitness — that market move on a horse at the same class mark is hard to ignore.
Full result
Winner: Level Up (IRE) at SP 5/2J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Level Up Fox #2 4/1
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2
Some Nightmare Fox #4 13/2
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3
Connie's Rose Fox #1 11/4
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4
Control Room Fox #3 7/2
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5
Savannah Smiles 10/1
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6
Magna 5/1
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7
Double Naughty 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4