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Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Classified Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Evelyn's Phoenix
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Evelyn's Phoenix (SR:56, 10/3) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has been backed from 10/3 in by 25% — the strongest market move in the race — suggesting informed support despite a modest form line of 969064. At age 5 in a Class 6 classified stakes, the MarkMv:-3 means connections are running off a lowered mark and Tim Easterby's yard, while only striking at 9%, has form at this level. The going (Good) suits better than truly testing conditions and the tongue-plate headgear (HG:tp) may sharpen focus. The DistFit:- is a concern but this is a weak field where the SR edge and market confidence outweigh that reservation. Each-way alternative: Back From Dubai. Main danger: Back From Dubai — Back From Dubai (SR:54) matches Evelyn's Phoenix at the top of the SR table, David Egan is a high-quality booking at 14% career strike rate, and a MarkMv:-2 drop gives connections a slight edge, even if the 18% drift is a mild worry.
Full result
Winner: Tiberio Force (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tiberio Force 10/1
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2
Ten Sixty Six Fox #3 4/1
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3
Evelyn's Phoenix Fox #1 4/1
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4
Golden Samba 11/1
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5
Wheres The Crumpet 28/1
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6
Captain Bruce 22/1
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7
Back From Dubai Fox #2 7/2
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8
Retro Rocket 33/1
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9
Balance Of Trade 40/1
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10
Quirke On Parole Fox #4 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Evelyn's Phoenix 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Back From Dubai 10/3 7TH
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3
Ten Sixty Six 4/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Quirke On Parole 4/1 10TH