Ripon 17:20 RESULTED
Class 6 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Classified Stakes (Div II)

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Classified Stakes (Div II) · 1m1f170y

Official Result

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Classified Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tiberio Force (GB) Mark Winn · Simon Whitaker
    7/1
  2. 9/2
  3. 11/4F
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Back From Dubai silks
Back From Dubai
Age 9 · 9-9
314063
49
54
55
9
9-9
7/2 11/4 7/2
Back From Dubai shaped well when third last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, with our rating of 55 suggesting he holds strong claims from stall seven; the worry is that his form has been patchy in recent starts, with only one win to his name.
AI verdict

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Evelyn's Phoenix silks
Evelyn's Phoenix
Age 5 · 9-9
969064
47
56
56
5
9-9
4/1 7/2 4/1
Winless in his last six starts, Evelyn's Phoenix nevertheless appeals on his rating and returns here on a quick turnaround of 15 days, carrying 135 lb from stall one, with experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Golden Samba silks
Golden Samba
Age 4 · 9-9
-84376
44
39
45
4
9-9
11/1 FCST 9/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Golden Samba faces a stiff task here; her sole encouragement is a third three starts back, though she returns after 63 days off and has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
Quirke On Parole silks
Quirke On Parole
Age 4 · 9-9
097393
48
50
49
4
9-9
11/4 FCST 5/2
Quirke On Parole shaped with some promise when third last time out, and she has run over today's distance and going before, yet she remains winless in her last six starts and a mark of 48 leaves her mid-division on ratings heading into this.
AI verdict

SR 50 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Tiberio Force silks
Tiberio Force
Age 7 · 9-9
-66789
44
46
52
7
9-9
10/1 11/1 17/2
Tiberio Force has run over today's trip and going, and at 16 days freshened up he arrives in reasonable nick, but a winless run of five starts showing a consistent drift toward the back makes improvement essential if he is to feature from stall five carrying 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Wheres The Crumpet silks
Wheres The Crumpet
Age 8 · 9-9
800988
42
24
46
8
9-9
28/1 11/1 25/1
Winless in her last six starts, Wheres The Crumpet faces a stiff task from stall two carrying 135 lb, and her recent finishes offer little encouragement; however, she has run over today's distance and going before, and a rating of 46 leaves a small margin for improvement.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Balance Of Trade silks
Balance Of Trade
Age 3 · 9-2
439458
46
27
53
3
9-2
40/1 16/1 33/1
Balance Of Trade shaped with encouragement when fourth three starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, while our rating of 53 puts him ahead of his official mark; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and must reverse a run of below-par efforts.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Captain Bruce silks
Captain Bruce
Age 3 · 9-2
-90988
45
22
42
3
9-2
22/1 FCST 20/1
Captain Bruce has been winless in his last five starts, with a string of eighth and ninth-place finishes offering little encouragement, and our figures rank him ninth of ten here. The 63-day absence is a concern, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

9
Retro Rocket silks
Retro Rocket
Age 3 · 9-2
0768
32
11
30
3
9-2
33/1 18/1 33/1
Winless in his last four starts, with finishes no better than sixth in that sequence, Retro Rocket is hard to fancy on these figures, though 25 days between runs at least suggests he arrives fresh and draw four is a neutral enough pitch.
AI verdict

SR 11 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Ten Sixty Six silks
Ten Sixty Six
Age 3 · 9-2
979465
50
54
52
3
9-2
4/1 11/4 4/1
Winless in her last six starts, Ten Sixty Six nonetheless brings fitness from a run 18 days ago, experience on today's going, and a speed rating that nudges ahead of her official mark — the risk is that recent form offers no clear upward trajectory.
AI verdict

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Back From Dubai 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Evelyn's Phoenix 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Golden Samba 11/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 11/1 Bet365
4 Quirke On Parole 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.00 3/1 Coral
5 Tiberio Force 10/1 open 19.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Wheres The Crumpet 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Balance Of Trade 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Captain Bruce 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
9 Retro Rocket 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Ten Sixty Six 4/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Back From Dubai

Speculative

Back From Dubai owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Roy Bowring David Egan
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Evelyn's Phoenix

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Retro Rocket

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Martin Keighley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
27 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Back From Dubai
48.0 7/2
2 2. Evelyn's Phoenix
46.1 4/1
3 10. Ten Sixty Six
45.4 4/1
4 4. Quirke On Parole
45.1 11/4
5 5. Tiberio Force
38.9 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Evelyn's Phoenix
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-9
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Evelyn's Phoenix
Confidence: Speculative

Evelyn's Phoenix (SR:56, 10/3) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has been backed from 10/3 in by 25% — the strongest market move in the race — suggesting informed support despite a modest form line of 969064. At age 5 in a Class 6 classified stakes, the MarkMv:-3 means connections are running off a lowered mark and Tim Easterby's yard, while only striking at 9%, has form at this level. The going (Good) suits better than truly testing conditions and the tongue-plate headgear (HG:tp) may sharpen focus. The DistFit:- is a concern but this is a weak field where the SR edge and market confidence outweigh that reservation. Each-way alternative: Back From Dubai. Main danger: Back From Dubai — Back From Dubai (SR:54) matches Evelyn's Phoenix at the top of the SR table, David Egan is a high-quality booking at 14% career strike rate, and a MarkMv:-2 drop gives connections a slight edge, even if the 18% drift is a mild worry.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 969064 — that '4' is the best recent finish and the horse has failed to place in 5 of last 6 runs; there is no win in this sequence to suggest a breakthrough is imminent.
  • David Allan's 11% strike rate is notably below David Egan (14%) and Daniel Tudhope (16%), both of whom ride rivals at similar odds — a jockey edge runs against this pick.
  • Ten Sixty Six (SR:54, 4/1) is trained by David O'Meara (11%) and ridden by Tudhope (16%) — a stronger handler/jockey combination at only a marginally longer price, representing a clear market alterna…
  • The tongue-plate (tp) is being applied for the first time or as a retained piece of headgear on a horse whose form has not improved — if it hasn't sparked a turnaround yet, today's application carrie…
Shortlist Evelyn's Phoenix, Back From Dubai, Ten Sixty Six, Quirke On Parole
Each-way: Back From Dubai Danger: Back From Dubai

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m1f170y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade