← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
AJC Group Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Seven Towers
SPECULATIVE Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Seven Towers (SR:84, Age:5, Wgt:11-9) arrives on the back of a win (form 3-3391, rightmost digit = 1), is proven on good going (GoingFit:+), and is trained by Gavin Cromwell (9%, 1407 runners) — a yard with meaningful volume and strike rate at this level. Keith Donoghue (10%, 520 runners) is a capable booking and not a fill-in ride. The 12-day turnaround after a win suggests connections are confident the horse is in a purple patch, and at only 5 years old this is a progressive type whose ceiling is still unclear. The weight of 11-9 is moderate in context — lighter than the co-topweights Bruant and Kashchei by 3lb — and the DistFit:? simply reflects limited sample rather than a demonstrated failure at the trip. Each-way alternative: Mickey Cohen. Main danger: Down Around — Down Around (SR:82, Wgt:11-4) is trained by Gordon Elliott (15%, 1767 runners — the highest trainer strike rate in the field by a clear margin) and last-time-out won (form 236-71), so comes here on the same winning-run profile as Seven Towers but with a stable that consistently punches above its weight in these mid-tier handicap hurdles.
Full result
Winner: Bruant (GB) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Bruant
-
2
Kashchei
-
3
Penzance
-
4
Down Around Fox #3
-
5
Cozone Fox #4
-
6
Seven Towers Fox #1
-
7
Love Like This
-
8
Tell Nobody Nothin
-
—
Shinnhill
-
—
Tolka Row
-
—
Mickey Cohen Fox #2
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Seven Towers 6TH
-
2
Mickey Cohen
-
3
Down Around 🏁 4TH
-
4
Cozone 5TH