Downpatrick 15:55 RESULTED
31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August AJC Group Handicap Hurdle

AJC Group Handicap Hurdle · 2m5f180y

Official Result

AJC Group Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bruant (GB) Kevin Sexton · A J Martin
    3/1F
  2. Second Kashchei (GB)
    12/1
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bruant silks
Bruant
Age 5 · 11-12
P0-102
110
84
111
5
11-12
SP
Bruant shaped well when runner-up last time out and his win three starts back shows he retains the ability to get his head in front; experience over today's going is a further plus, and he arrives here fresh enough on 25 days' rest to make his presence felt.
AI verdict

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Kashchei silks
Kashchei
Age 6 · 11-12
753-1P
110
82
114
6
11-12
SP
Kashchei has run over today's trip and going before, and a win two starts back underlines his claims as the top-rated runner in this field; the main concern is that pulled-up effort last time out, after a 62-day absence now to factor in.
AI verdict

SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Cozone silks
Cozone
Age 9 · 11-11
/16-31
109
89
109
9
11-11
SP
Cozone won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but 79 days off the track raises a fitness query and 165 lb is a stern burden for a horse ranked midfield in this field.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Shinnhill silks
Shinnhill
Age 9 · 11-10
1/7-P2
108
74
108
9
11-10
SP
Shinnhill arrives on the back of a second last time out, though a pulled-up effort two starts back clouds his recent profile; he handles today's going and returns after a 22-day break, but ranked seventh of eleven on rating, he faces a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Seven Towers silks
Seven Towers
Age 5 · 11-9
3-3391
107
84
112
5
11-9
SP
Seven Towers won last time out and arrives just 12 days later in fine trim, with experience of today's going working in his favour; the main risk is that his two runs back showed a sharp drop to ninth, hinting at some inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Penzance silks
Penzance
Age 6 · 11-7
422204
105
85
114
6
11-7
SP
Penzance has been knocking on the door, finishing second three times in recent starts, and at 15 days between runs he arrives fresh and fit; rated 114 by us against an official mark of 105, he looks overdue a change of fortune, though his inability to convert remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tolka Row silks
Tolka Row
Age 6 · 11-5
872P18
103
82
108
6
11-5
SP
Won two starts back but pulled up three starts back, and that inconsistency is the key concern; he has distance and going experience to draw on and returns fit on 17 days' rest, though eighth last time out and a career-high 159 lb test his claims here.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Down Around silks
Down Around
Age 9 · 11-4
236-71
102
82
107
9
11-4
SP
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Down Around is hard to fancy at the weights, but he does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Tell Nobody Nothin silks
Tell Nobody Nothin
Age 6 · 11-4
3461-P
102
79
106
6
11-4
SP
Tell Nobody Nothin was a winner two starts back but has since been pulled up, and 107 days on the sidelines plus a rating of 106 ranked tenth of eleven make him very hard to fancy; the experience over today's trip and going is at least a small positive.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Mickey Cohen silks
Mickey Cohen
Age 5 · 11-2
4312-4
100
85
107
5
11-2
SP
Returned a winner three starts back and a close second two starts back shows he retains ability, but 50 days off the track and a stiff 156 lb ask give pause, even if he has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Love Like This silks
Love Like This
Age 8 · 10-3
143040
87
71
92
8
10-3
SP
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Love Like This makes her case hard to build — unplaced in two of her last three starts, she has run over today's trip and going, and a win does feature in recent form, but that came six starts back.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tolka Row

Speculative

Tolka Row owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A David M O'Brien Sean Flanagan
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mickey Cohen

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Noel Meade
✓ Value Signal

Love Like This

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · John Patrick Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
78 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Tolka Row
51.2 N/A
2 10. Mickey Cohen
51.1 N/A
3 6. Penzance
51.1 N/A
4 3. Cozone
51.0 N/A
5 2. Kashchei
50.5 N/A
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🤖 AI view
Seven Towers
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

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Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Seven Towers
Confidence: Speculative

Seven Towers (SR:84, Age:5, Wgt:11-9) arrives on the back of a win (form 3-3391, rightmost digit = 1), is proven on good going (GoingFit:+), and is trained by Gavin Cromwell (9%, 1407 runners) — a yard with meaningful volume and strike rate at this level. Keith Donoghue (10%, 520 runners) is a capable booking and not a fill-in ride. The 12-day turnaround after a win suggests connections are confident the horse is in a purple patch, and at only 5 years old this is a progressive type whose ceiling is still unclear. The weight of 11-9 is moderate in context — lighter than the co-topweights Bruant and Kashchei by 3lb — and the DistFit:? simply reflects limited sample rather than a demonstrated failure at the trip. Each-way alternative: Mickey Cohen. Main danger: Down Around — Down Around (SR:82, Wgt:11-4) is trained by Gordon Elliott (15%, 1767 runners — the highest trainer strike rate in the field by a clear margin) and last-time-out won (form 236-71), so comes here on the same winning-run profile as Seven Towers but with a stable that consistently punches above its weight in these mid-tier handicap hurdles.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Seven Towers' form reads 3-3391 meaning only one win in recent starts and prior efforts were modest thirds — the single win may flatter a weak race rather than signal genuine progression.
  • DistFit:? flags unproven stamina at today's trip; if this is longer than his winning distance, he could find the finish a test after a quick 12-day turnaround.
  • Cozone (SR:89, highest in field, form /16-31) represents a superior rated rival on a mark 5lb above Seven Towers, and Matthew J Smith's yard runs at 8% — a live each-way danger at minimum.
  • Down Around (Gordon Elliott, 15% yard, SR:82, recent win in form 236-71, Days:21) brings a stronger training operation with Elliott's renowned handicap expertise at a 5lb pull in the weights.
Shortlist Seven Towers, Mickey Cohen, Down Around, Cozone
Each-way: Mickey Cohen Danger: Down Around

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m5f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting