Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race

16:50 Roscommon Mon 31 Aug 2026 0m7f94y Good 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ruler's Control

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 38%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Ruler's Control (SR 103, 13/8) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin — 4 SR points ahead of Joga Bonito and 10 ahead of South Dakota. Carrying 9-4, the same weight as Joga Bonito, there is no meaningful weight disadvantage to offset the SR edge. The form string 1-4-5 shows a win followed by two placed/competitive efforts, and the tongue-tie application suggests connections are actively managing the horse to peak performance. Joseph Patrick O'Brien (15% strike rate, 1643 runners) with J M Sheridan (12%) is a competent book; the market at 13/8 reflects genuine confidence. The main reservation is GoingFit:? — no confirmed good-ground record — but at 2 years old with a short form line that is expected, not a red flag. Each-way alternative: Joga Bonito. Main danger: Joga Bonito — Joga Bonito (SR 99, 10/3) is the second-highest rated runner, arrives off a last-time-out win (form 4-2-3-1), and the cheekpieces application suggests a horse that responded sharply to headgear — a MarkMv:+11 rise is the only concern, but the trainer (22% strike rate) and the recent winning form make it the most credible threat.

Verify· #15300

Full result

Winner: South Dakota (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 South Dakota Fox #3 A P O'Brien · Wayne Lordan 5/2
2 Joga Bonito Fox #2 P Twomey · W J Lee 5/2
3 Wunderschon Mrs John Harrington · Keithen Kennedy(5) 25/1
4 Ruler's Control Fox #1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien · J M Sheridan 15/8
5 Lars Soldier Michael Mulvany · Wesley Joyce(3) 16/1
6 Full Volume Mrs John Harrington · Shane Foley 15/2
7 Cudawudashuda G M Lyons · Colin Keane 33/1
8 Panhandle Gavin Cromwell · Gary Carroll 80/1
9 The Long Haul T G McCourt · James Ryan 150/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Ruler's Control 13/8 🏁 4TH
2 Joga Bonito 10/3 🥈 2ND
3 South Dakota 5/2 SP 3/1 🏆 WON