Roscommon 16:50 RESULTED
31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race · 0m7f94y

Official Result

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner South Dakota (IRE) Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien
    3/1
  2. 7/4F
  3. 40/1
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Southwell (AW)

13:32–17:35 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:45–17:45 · 8 races

Epsom

13:50–17:15 · 7 races

Ripon

13:55–17:50 · 8 races

Downpatrick

14:12–17:39 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:35–17:30 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–19:55 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
South Dakota silks
South Dakota
Age 2 · 9-8
4433
95
93
85
2
9-8
5/2 7/4 5/2
Never far away in recent starts, South Dakota brings solid each-way claims having run over today's trip and going, and 28 days between runs leaves him fresh; the concern is that he remains winless in his last four, suggesting he may find one too good again.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Full Volume silks
Full Volume
Age 2 · 9-6
6126
96
88
78
2
9-6
15/2 4/1 15/2
A winner three starts back, Full Volume has since been held to sixth on his latest outing, and the 132 lb he carries from stall one is a notable ask; experience over today's trip and going offers some encouragement, but our rating suggests he faces a stiff task against stronger company here.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Joga Bonito silks
Joga Bonito
Age 2 · 9-4
4231
90
99
92
2
9-4
5/2 3/1 9/4
Joga Bonito arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a genuine threat from stall two off 130 lb; the weight he shoulders is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lars Soldier silks
Lars Soldier
Age 2 · 9-4
153425
84
81
93
2
9-4
16/1 18/1 16/1
Lars Soldier ran a solid second one start back and has experience of both today's trip and going, while his rating of 93 suggests he holds strong claims here; the fifth last time out is the one to look past.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ruler's Control silks
Ruler's Control
Age 2 · 9-4
145
100
103
95
2
9-4
15/8 7/4 21/13
Ruler's Control landed a win three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims from stall seven off 130 lb; a couple of below-par efforts since are the only reservation, but he appeals as the one to beat.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Cudawudashuda silks
Cudawudashuda
Age 2 · 9-0
6
33
55
2
9-0
33/1 25/1 33/1
Cudawudashuda is yet to score in recent starts, and 59 days between runs is a notable fitness query, though he has run over today's trip and going before and carries a straightforward 126 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Panhandle silks
Panhandle
Age 2 · 9-0
00
18
37
2
9-0
80/1 50/1 66/1
Winless in his last two starts and ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Panhandle faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's going before and returns on a quick eight-day turnaround suggesting connections are keen.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
The Long Haul silks
The Long Haul
Age 2 · 9-0
50
18
38
2
9-0
150/1 100/1 150/1
Winless in his last two starts and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, The Long Haul faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's going before and a 15-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh enough.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

9
Wunderschon silks
Wunderschon
Age 2 · 8-13
7
33
53
2
8-13
25/1 33/1 14/1
Winless in her last start and ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Wunderschon faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's trip before and returns after a 34-day break with freshness potentially on her side.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 South Dakota 5/2 open 2.88 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 2.75 5/2 open 3.25 11/4 Paddy Power
2 Full Volume 15/2 open 5.50 9/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 9/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Joga Bonito 5/2 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
4 Lars Soldier 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Ruler's Control 15/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 7/4 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 15/8 Bet365
6 Cudawudashuda 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Paddy Power
7 Panhandle 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 80/1 Bet365
8 The Long Haul 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 150/1 Bet365
9 Wunderschon 25/1 open 41.00 14/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ruler's Control

Live signal

Ruler's Control owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

South Dakota

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · A P O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

The Long Haul

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · T G McCourt
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Ruler's Control
60.8 15/8
2 1. South Dakota
57.4 5/2
3 3. Joga Bonito
56.1 5/2
4 2. Full Volume
51.4 15/2
5 4. Lars Soldier
46.2 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ruler's Control
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-4
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 103 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-6
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ruler's Control
Confidence: Speculative

Ruler's Control (SR 103, 13/8) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin — 4 SR points ahead of Joga Bonito and 10 ahead of South Dakota. Carrying 9-4, the same weight as Joga Bonito, there is no meaningful weight disadvantage to offset the SR edge. The form string 1-4-5 shows a win followed by two placed/competitive efforts, and the tongue-tie application suggests connections are actively managing the horse to peak performance. Joseph Patrick O'Brien (15% strike rate, 1643 runners) with J M Sheridan (12%) is a competent book; the market at 13/8 reflects genuine confidence. The main reservation is GoingFit:? — no confirmed good-ground record — but at 2 years old with a short form line that is expected, not a red flag. Each-way alternative: Joga Bonito. Main danger: Joga Bonito — Joga Bonito (SR 99, 10/3) is the second-highest rated runner, arrives off a last-time-out win (form 4-2-3-1), and the cheekpieces application suggests a horse that responded sharply to headgear — a MarkMv:+11 rise is the only concern, but the trainer (22% strike rate) and the recent winning form make it the most credible threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ruler's Control's last two runs were a 4th and 5th — a deteriorating trend over the most recent form, not improvement, despite the earlier win.
  • 34 days since last run: Joga Bonito (31 days) and South Dakota (28 days) are both sharper in terms of racecourse freshness, having competed more recently.
  • Joga Bonito arrives on a MarkMv of +11 with a recent win and a handicapper acknowledging improvement — a horse in confirmed upward form vs Ruler's Control's downward recent arc.
  • HG flag is 't' (tongue-tie first time today) — while framed positively, first-time headgear is a risk factor; if the horse needed it, it signals something was wrong in those 4th/5th runs.
Shortlist Ruler's Control, Joga Bonito, South Dakota
Each-way: Joga Bonito Danger: Joga Bonito

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m7f94y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting