← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Lidan Handicap

17:55 Roscommon Mon 31 Aug 2026 0m7f94y Good 13 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Ninth Crusade silks

Ninth Crusade

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 24%

10TH

Mr Fox says

Ninth Crusade (SR:80, 11/2) carries the minimum weight of 9-0 — a meaningful advantage in a competitive 13-runner handicap on good ground — and secures the services of Colin Keane, the field's standout jockey booking at 16% career strike rate from 1,065 runners. The form string 062-63 shows consistent competitiveness at this level, and the trainer M D O'Callaghan operates at a solid 10% from 312 runners. The light weight plus elite jockey combination on a horse rated competitively at SR:80 represents the clearest convergence of signals in the field. Each-way alternative: Goal Exceeded. Main danger: Goal Exceeded — Goal Exceeded (SR:84 — highest in the field, 9/2) is the McGuinness yard's #1 runner with better jockey booking than stablemate Eddie G, and a recent form line of 203144 shows consistent involvement, though DistFit:- and a MarkMv:+10 are legitimate concerns.

Full result

Winner: Goal Exceeded (GB) at SP 7/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Goal Exceeded silks Goal Exceeded Fox #2 Adrian McGuinness · Adam Caffrey 10/3
  2. 2 Morehampton silks Morehampton J P Murtagh · Ben Coen 9/1
  3. 3 Mercurial silks Mercurial John J Nallen · Seamie Heffernan 11/1
  4. 4 Tokyo Treasure silks Tokyo Treasure Patrick T Foley · J M Sheridan 40/1
  5. 5 Merisi Diamond silks Merisi Diamond Fox #3 Thomas Coyle · W J Lee 7/1
  6. 6 Punica Granatum silks Punica Granatum Mrs John Harrington · Shane Foley 9/1
  7. 7 Gavoo silks Gavoo David Marnane · Luke McAteer 10/1
  8. 8 Eddie G silks Eddie G Adrian McGuinness · Sam Coen(5) 17/2
  9. 9 Highbury See See silks Highbury See See Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery 10/1
  10. 10 Ninth Crusade silks Ninth Crusade Fox #1 M D O'Callaghan · Colin Keane 6/1
  11. 11 Earls silks Earls Fox #4 Gavin Cromwell · Gary Carroll 13/2
  12. Engines On silks Engines On John Andrew Kinsella · Chris Hayes 12/1
  13. Plume Noire silks Plume Noire Gerard Keane · Jack Kearney(3) 40/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Ninth Crusade silks Ninth Crusade 11/2 10TH
  2. 2 Goal Exceeded silks Goal Exceeded 9/2 SP 7/2F 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Merisi Diamond silks Merisi Diamond 11/2 5TH
  4. 4 Earls silks Earls 7/1 11TH