← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Lidan Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Ninth Crusade
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Ninth Crusade (SR:80, 11/2) carries the minimum weight of 9-0 — a meaningful advantage in a competitive 13-runner handicap on good ground — and secures the services of Colin Keane, the field's standout jockey booking at 16% career strike rate from 1,065 runners. The form string 062-63 shows consistent competitiveness at this level, and the trainer M D O'Callaghan operates at a solid 10% from 312 runners. The light weight plus elite jockey combination on a horse rated competitively at SR:80 represents the clearest convergence of signals in the field. Each-way alternative: Goal Exceeded. Main danger: Goal Exceeded — Goal Exceeded (SR:84 — highest in the field, 9/2) is the McGuinness yard's #1 runner with better jockey booking than stablemate Eddie G, and a recent form line of 203144 shows consistent involvement, though DistFit:- and a MarkMv:+10 are legitimate concerns.
Full result
Winner: Goal Exceeded (GB) at SP 7/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Goal Exceeded Fox #2 10/3
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2
Morehampton 9/1
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3
Mercurial 11/1
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4
Tokyo Treasure 40/1
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5
Merisi Diamond Fox #3 7/1
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6
Punica Granatum 9/1
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7
Gavoo 10/1
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8
Eddie G 17/2
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9
Highbury See See 10/1
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10
Ninth Crusade Fox #1 6/1
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11
Earls Fox #4 13/2
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—
Engines On 12/1
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—
Plume Noire 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ninth Crusade 11/2 10TH
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2
Goal Exceeded 9/2 SP 7/2F 🏆 WON
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3
Merisi Diamond 11/2 5TH
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4
Earls 7/1 11TH