← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Storm Force
MEDIUM Advised 1/2 SP 4/9F Est. 65%
Mr Fox says
Storm Force (SR 155, 1/2) is in a completely different ability bracket to this field — the next best SR is 123 (Blazing Gaden) and the other two 3-year-olds clock 76 and 78. The Form:3-1 shows improvement to a win on the most recent start, James Doyle (18% strike rate, 370 runners) is a significant booking for this yard, and at Class 4 Novice level carrying 9-11 the weight burden is entirely manageable against these rivals. Even with DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — meaning we lack a proven track record over 6f1y on good AW — the SR gap of 32+ points over the nearest rival makes those unknowns irrelevant in practical terms. Each-way alternative: Frantic. Main danger: Frantic — Frantic (SR 78, 10/3) has the second-best market price, Ed Walker (15% strike rate) is a competent handler for improvement, and the Form:4-2275 shows a place on the most recent start, making it the only realistic each-way alternative if Storm Force underperforms on an unfamiliar trip and going combination.
Full result
Winner: Storm Force (IRE) at SP 4/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Storm Force Fox #1 4/9
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2
Gold Star Gazing Fox #3 5/1
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3
Frantic Fox #2 4/1
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4
Blazing Gaden 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3