Lingfield (AW) 14:50 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Sep 2026

Tuesday 1 September Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f1y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Storm Force (IRE) James Doyle · Richard & Peter Fahey
    4/9F
  2. 11/4
  3. Third Frantic (GB)
    11/2
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Storm Force silks
Storm Force
Age 3 · 9-11
3-1
155
3
9-11
4/9 1/3 5/14
SR 155 backed by market confidence at 1/2 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 155 backed by market confidence at 1/2 — a genuine contender.

2
Blazing Gaden silks
Blazing Gaden
Age 5 · 9-6
9
123
5
9-6
150/1 100/1 125/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Gold Star Gazing silks
Gold Star Gazing
Age 3 · 9-4
33-35
77
76
77OR
3
9-4
5/1 10/3 4/1
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Frantic silks
Frantic
Age 3 · 8-13
4-2275
70
78
70OR
3
8-13
4/1 5/2 4/1
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Storm Force 4/9 open 1.33 4/11 open 1.67 2/5 open 1.44 2/5 open 1.44 4/9 2/5 open 1.44 4/9 Bet365
2 Blazing Gaden 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 Bet365
3 Gold Star Gazing 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 4.33 5/1 5/1 5/1 4/1 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
4 Frantic 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Storm Force

High conviction

Storm Force owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/9 Richard & Peter Fahey James Doyle
92% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Blazing Gaden

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

150/1 · D J Jeffreys
✓ Value Signal

Blazing Gaden

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · D J Jeffreys
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Storm Force
73.2 4/9
2 2. Blazing Gaden
52.5 150/1
3 4. Frantic
52.4 4/1
4 3. Gold Star Gazing
52.2 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Storm Force
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-11
4/9
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

SR 155 backed by market confidence at 1/2 — a genuine contender.

4
Age 3 · 8-13
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Storm Force
Confidence: Medium

Storm Force (SR 155, 1/2) is in a completely different ability bracket to this field — the next best SR is 123 (Blazing Gaden) and the other two 3-year-olds clock 76 and 78. The Form:3-1 shows improvement to a win on the most recent start, James Doyle (18% strike rate, 370 runners) is a significant booking for this yard, and at Class 4 Novice level carrying 9-11 the weight burden is entirely manageable against these rivals. Even with DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — meaning we lack a proven track record over 6f1y on good AW — the SR gap of 32+ points over the nearest rival makes those unknowns irrelevant in practical terms. Each-way alternative: Frantic. Main danger: Frantic — Frantic (SR 78, 10/3) has the second-best market price, Ed Walker (15% strike rate) is a competent handler for improvement, and the Form:4-2275 shows a place on the most recent start, making it the only realistic each-way alternative if Storm Force underperforms on an unfamiliar trip and going combination.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? and GoingFit:? mean Storm Force has no confirmed form over Lingfield AW 6f1y — a track with a unique downhill bend that can catch unexposed horses off guard.
  • Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey operates at only 10% strike rate (492 runners) — below-average for a short-priced favourite, suggesting the yard does not run at this venue with consistent success.
  • Days:16 since last run is a quick turnaround after a win; horses returning rapidly off a career-best effort can be flattered and may not reproduce the form on the bounce.
  • At 1/2 the price is dangerously short for a horse with unknown AW/trip suitability — Frantic at 10/3 with Tom Marquand and an Ed Walker yard hitting 15% offers live each-way value if Storm Force unde…
Shortlist Storm Force, Frantic, Gold Star Gazing
Each-way: Frantic Danger: Frantic

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade