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Mr Fox’s call
Elvetham
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 5/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Elvetham (SR 66, 7/4) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and the only horse with proven course form (W1P2 at Lingfield AW) combined with a confirmed distance fit (DistFit:+). Running at the same class level it has competed at previously (ClassMv:=), it faces a modest 4lb mark rise (MarkMv:+4) which is manageable given the blinkers first-time application (HG:b) — a classic headgear change signalling stable intent. Tom Marquand (13% strike rate, 1,184 rides) is a meaningful booking upgrade for a yard with only 48 career runners, and the 6% market drift is modest and likely reflects the headgear risk rather than lack of confidence in the horse's chance on form. Each-way alternative: No Return. Main danger: No Return — No Return has steamed 37% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — and at SR 66 matches Elvetham on ability; Charlie Johnston at 13% strike rate from 1,334 runners knows when to send a horse out to win, and that money has to be respected even against unfavourable distance and going flags.
Full result
Winner: Elvetham (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Elvetham Fox #1 7/4
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2
Mart Fox #3 7/2
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3
No Return Fox #2 13/8
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4
Fletcher's Flight 12/1
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5
Lochaber 25/1
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Dontspoilasale -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Elvetham 7/4 SP 5/4F 🏆 WON
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2
No Return 9/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Mart 11/4 🥈 2ND