Elvetham
SpeculativeElvetham owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
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SR 66 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Dontspoilasale | 2/1 | 7/4 | — | — | — | — | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 No Return | 13/8 open 7.50 | 13/8 open 5.50 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 Betfred |
| 3 Elvetham | 7/4 open 3.75 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Fletcher's Flight | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mart | 7/2 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Lochaber | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Elvetham owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 66 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Elvetham (SR 66, 7/4) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and the only horse with proven course form (W1P2 at Lingfield AW) combined with a confirmed distance fit (DistFit:+). Running at the same class level it has competed at previously (ClassMv:=), it faces a modest 4lb mark rise (MarkMv:+4) which is manageable given the blinkers first-time application (HG:b) — a classic headgear change signalling stable intent. Tom Marquand (13% strike rate, 1,184 rides) is a meaningful booking upgrade for a yard with only 48 career runners, and the 6% market drift is modest and likely reflects the headgear risk rather than lack of confidence in the horse's chance on form. Each-way alternative: No Return. Main danger: No Return — No Return has steamed 37% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — and at SR 66 matches Elvetham on ability; Charlie Johnston at 13% strike rate from 1,334 runners knows when to send a horse out to win, and that money has to be respected even against unfavourable distance and going flags.