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16:15 Newcastle (AW) Wed 02 Sep 2026 1m5y Class 5 Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Harry The Rogue silks

Harry The Rogue

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 28%

9TH

Mr Fox says

Harry The Rogue (SR:70, 6/1, Wgt:9-12) is the standout selection on the back of a remarkable 63% market move in — the strongest steaming signal in the field by a wide margin, suggesting informed money is firmly behind this runner. Despite a MarkMv:+19 concern (running off a mark 19lb higher than last win), the DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination is the only confirmed distance-and-going fit in the entire field, a crucial edge in a race where almost every rival has DistFit:- on today's 1m5y trip. The drop in class (↓1) further aids connections' confidence. Trainer Stephen Hanlon has a modest 7% strike rate but the market move dwarfs any yard concern and jockey Whiteley's 18% at 140 rides is solid for the level. Each-way alternative: Flying Fletcher. Main danger: Flying Fletcher — Flying Fletcher (SR:72, 4/1, Mkt:in23%) carries the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Starliner, has a 23% market move in its favour, drops in class (↓1), and at 9-7 carries 5lb less than Harry The Rogue — a meaningful weight advantage if the distance fitness gap closes on AW good ground.

Verify· #15602

Full result

Winner: Sunriseontheboyne (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Sunriseontheboyne silks Sunriseontheboyne Fox #4 Ben Haslam · Andrew Mullen 10/3
  2. 2 Starliner silks Starliner Linda Perratt · William Pyle 11/1
  3. 3 Criminal Shore silks Criminal Shore David O'Meara · Mark Winn 5/1
  4. 4 Bee Farmer silks Bee Farmer Edward Bethell · P J McDonald 20/1
  5. 5 Rising Force silks Rising Force John Butler · M. P. Sheehy 14/1
  6. 6 Flying Fletcher silks Flying Fletcher Fox #2 Richard & Peter Fahey · Warren Fentiman(3) 3/1
  7. 7 Bowood silks Bowood Ivan Furtado · Elle-May Croot(5) 11/1
  8. 8 Mr Mistoffelees silks Mr Mistoffelees Fox #3 Sam England · Tom Eaves 11/2
  9. 9 Harry The Rogue silks Harry The Rogue Fox #1 Stephen Hanlon · Conor Whiteley(5) 7/1
  10. 10 Dragonflame silks Dragonflame Rebecca Menzies · Jason Hart 50/1
  11. 11 Natzor silks Natzor Lizzie Quinlan · Molly Keegan-Price(7) 100/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Harry The Rogue silks Harry The Rogue 6/1 9TH
  2. 2 Flying Fletcher silks Flying Fletcher 4/1 6TH
  3. 3 Mr Mistoffelees silks Mr Mistoffelees 11/2 8TH
  4. 4 Sunriseontheboyne silks Sunriseontheboyne 6/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON