← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Timurshah
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 2/1F Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Timurshah (SR:87, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field and carries a manageable 11-9 — lighter than top-weight Murat (SR:85, 12-6) who is 19lb heavier for a marginal SR disadvantage. The 25% market support (Mkt:in25%) is the strongest steaming signal in the field and aligns with trainer Aidan Melia's 19% strike rate and Derek O'Connor aboard at 15%. Crucially, the MarkMv:-49 means Timurshah is racing off a mark 49lb below his last winning mark, an extraordinary concession that makes him significantly well-in at the weights. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and at 5 years old he is the youngest, most likely progressive runner in the field. Each-way alternative: Murat. Main danger: Murat — Murat (SR:85, 7/2) is the second-highest rated runner, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), recent form of 712 showing a last-run second, and jockey H C Swan at 15% strike rate — the weight burden of 12-6 is the primary concern but in a Q.R. amateur context that penalty is less punishing than in a professional handicap.
Full result
Winner: Timurshah (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Timurshah Fox #1 13/8
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2
Day Trader Fox #4 7/1
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3
Liberated Light 18/1
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4
Not Just Any Eagle Fox #3 17/2
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5
The Mediator 66/1
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6
Young Churchill 40/1
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7
Friary Road 12/1
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8
Cala Gracioneta 15/2
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9
Murat Fox #2 4/1
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10
Sequoiaspirit 18/1
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11
Black Heather 22/1
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12
Jurality 33/1
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13
Jerandme 66/1
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14
Whimsy 14/1
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15
Miss Gitana 20/1
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16
Slowdownbarney 125/1
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—
Rich Belief 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Timurshah 7/4 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Murat 7/2 9TH
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3
Not Just Any Eagle 15/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Day Trader 13/2 🥈 2ND