Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap · 2m
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 7/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 39 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Murat | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 The Mediator | 66/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Whimsy | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Black Heather | 22/1 | 22/1 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Not Just Any Eagle | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Friary Road | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Timurshah | 13/8 open 3.75 | 13/8 open 4.50 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 8 Jerandme | 66/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Sequoiaspirit | 18/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Day Trader | 7/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Miss Gitana | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Liberated Light | 18/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Rich Belief | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Jurality | 33/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Cala Gracioneta | 15/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 16 Young Churchill | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Slowdownbarney | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Timurshah owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 87 suggests ability but 7/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 44 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Timurshah (SR:87, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field and carries a manageable 11-9 — lighter than top-weight Murat (SR:85, 12-6) who is 19lb heavier for a marginal SR disadvantage. The 25% market support (Mkt:in25%) is the strongest steaming signal in the field and aligns with trainer Aidan Melia's 19% strike rate and Derek O'Connor aboard at 15%. Crucially, the MarkMv:-49 means Timurshah is racing off a mark 49lb below his last winning mark, an extraordinary concession that makes him significantly well-in at the weights. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and at 5 years old he is the youngest, most likely progressive runner in the field. Each-way alternative: Murat. Main danger: Murat — Murat (SR:85, 7/2) is the second-highest rated runner, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), recent form of 712 showing a last-run second, and jockey H C Swan at 15% strike rate — the weight burden of 12-6 is the primary concern but in a Q.R. amateur context that penalty is less punishing than in a professional handicap.