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Bailey Partnership Celebrating 50 Years Nursery Handicap Stakes

15:17 Haydock Thu 03 Sep 2026 0m6f212y Class 5 Soft 12 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Katie's Cavalier silks

Katie's Cavalier

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Katie's Cavalier (SR:77, 9/2) holds the joint-highest SR in this Class 5 nursery alongside High Hazard but carries 9-5 — a 1lb advantage over High Hazard and lighter than most rivals — with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 6f+ trip, which is a meaningful edge in a field riddled with DistFit:- flags. The form string 56641 reads right-to-left as a last-run win, a career peak, and the 9/2 market is untroubled by any drift. Jockey Hector Crouch at 17% career strike rate is the strongest booking in the field, and trainer David Loughnane (10%, 512 runners) sends this horse to the same class (ClassMv:=) off only a 3lb mark rise — manageable after a win. On going that will slow the field and expose stamina doubts, having DistFit:+ is the most important differentiator here. Each-way alternative: Gerry's Darling. Main danger: High Hazard — High Hazard (SR:75, 11/2) is Hugo Palmer's designated yard runner (Stable:1) with a 16% market steam, drops three classes and carries only 9-6, giving it a live each-way case despite the DistFit:- flag on soft ground.

Verify· #15779

Full result

Winner: Diplomata (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Diplomata silks Diplomata William Haggas · Tom Marquand 13/2
  2. 2 One Shot Kodi silks One Shot Kodi Kevin Ryan · Tom Eaves 17/2
  3. 3 Gerry's Darling silks Gerry's Darling Fox #3 Roger Fell · Clifford Lee 6/1
  4. 4 Koodini silks Koodini Hugo Palmer · David Probert 10/1
  5. 5 High Hazard silks High Hazard Fox #2 Hugo Palmer · Sam James 4/1
  6. 6 Katie's Cavalier silks Katie's Cavalier Fox #1 David Loughnane · Hector Crouch 7/2
  7. 7 Green Titan silks Green Titan Fox #4 George Boughey · Pat Cosgrave 5/1
  8. 8 Tribal Appearance silks Tribal Appearance Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · Jack Doughty 18/1
  9. 9 Vinery silks Vinery Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · Charles Bishop 25/1
  10. 10 Unbeatable Fame silks Unbeatable Fame Richard & Peter Fahey · Oisin McSweeney 28/1
  11. — Peggy's Lad silks Peggy's Lad Iain Jardine · David Allan -
  12. — Greek Street silks Greek Street Harry Eustace · Sean Levey 22/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Katie's Cavalier silks Katie's Cavalier 9/2 6TH
  2. 2 High Hazard silks High Hazard 11/2 5TH
  3. 3 Gerry's Darling silks Gerry's Darling 11/2 🥉 3RD
  4. 4 Green Titan silks Green Titan 7/2 7TH