Bailey Partnership Celebrating 50 Years Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f212y
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tribal Appearance | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Koodini | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Vinery | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 4 High Hazard | 4/1 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 Betfred |
| 5 Katie's Cavalier | 7/2 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Gerry's Darling | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 Coral |
| 7 Green Titan | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 Coral |
| 8 Diplomata | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Peggy's Lad | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Greek Street | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 11 One Shot Kodi | 17/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Unbeatable Fame | 28/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Katie's Cavalier owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Katie's Cavalier (SR:77, 9/2) holds the joint-highest SR in this Class 5 nursery alongside High Hazard but carries 9-5 — a 1lb advantage over High Hazard and lighter than most rivals — with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 6f+ trip, which is a meaningful edge in a field riddled with DistFit:- flags. The form string 56641 reads right-to-left as a last-run win, a career peak, and the 9/2 market is untroubled by any drift. Jockey Hector Crouch at 17% career strike rate is the strongest booking in the field, and trainer David Loughnane (10%, 512 runners) sends this horse to the same class (ClassMv:=) off only a 3lb mark rise — manageable after a win. On going that will slow the field and expose stamina doubts, having DistFit:+ is the most important differentiator here. Each-way alternative: Gerry's Darling. Main danger: High Hazard — High Hazard (SR:75, 11/2) is Hugo Palmer's designated yard runner (Stable:1) with a 16% market steam, drops three classes and carries only 9-6, giving it a live each-way case despite the DistFit:- flag on soft ground.