← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Lawmans Blis
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Lawmans Blis (SR 64, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives in career-best form with a last-time-out win (form 661461), running off the same mark as that victory (MarkMv:=). A proven distance performer (DistFit:+) at 1m4f98y gives crucial confidence over rivals with unknown or negative trip records, and the market has shortened 7% since opening — steady, informed money rather than a gamble. The 8-day turnaround from a winning run is a minor flag, but trainer Jessica Macey and jockey Ethan Tindall clearly felt conditions were right to go again quickly, and the Class 6 level suits a horse operating at the top of this SR range. Each-way alternative: Satyress. Main danger: Satyress — Satyress (SR 63, 11/4) is just 1 SR point behind Lawmans Blis, carries 2lb less (9-6 vs 9-8), is progressing sharply off form 76-411 with two consecutive wins, and trainer Harriet Bethell's 16% strike rate is the best in the field — the drift of 17% is the main concern but the underlying profile is strong enough to reverse the selection.
Full result
Winner: Satyress (GB) at SP 7/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Satyress Fox #2 11/4
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2
Gemini Man 5/1
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3
Lawmans Blis Fox #1 3/1
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4
Bruce Banner Fox #3 15/2
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5
Mr Withington 4/1
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6
Neddies Boy 25/1
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7
Brunello Breeze 33/1
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8
Porter's Song 28/1
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9
Bouboule 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3