Border Minstrel Pub Handicap Stakes · 1m4f98y
SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gemini Man | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Bruce Banner | 15/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Bouboule | 18/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Lawmans Blis | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Brunello Breeze | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Porter's Song | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 9.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Satyress | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 8 Mr Withington | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Neddies Boy | 25/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Satyress owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lawmans Blis (SR 64, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives in career-best form with a last-time-out win (form 661461), running off the same mark as that victory (MarkMv:=). A proven distance performer (DistFit:+) at 1m4f98y gives crucial confidence over rivals with unknown or negative trip records, and the market has shortened 7% since opening — steady, informed money rather than a gamble. The 8-day turnaround from a winning run is a minor flag, but trainer Jessica Macey and jockey Ethan Tindall clearly felt conditions were right to go again quickly, and the Class 6 level suits a horse operating at the top of this SR range. Each-way alternative: Satyress. Main danger: Satyress — Satyress (SR 63, 11/4) is just 1 SR point behind Lawmans Blis, carries 2lb less (9-6 vs 9-8), is progressing sharply off form 76-411 with two consecutive wins, and trainer Harriet Bethell's 16% strike rate is the best in the field — the drift of 17% is the main concern but the underlying profile is strong enough to reverse the selection.