← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Asadjumeirah
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 9/4F Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Asadjumeirah (SR 61, 10/3) is the highest-rated runner in this modest Class 6 field and brings the standout course record of W2P8 at Newcastle AW — a genuine track specialist. Carrying 9-8, it sits comfortably in the mid-weight range and trainer Antony Brittain's 8% strike rate is workmanlike but acceptable at this level. The MarkMv:+8 is a concern, running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win, but the course familiarity and top SR in the field outweigh that penalty against this opposition. The market makes it favourite at 10/3, and while DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flag surface/trip concerns shared almost universally across this field, the course form edge is the decisive differentiator. Each-way alternative: Liquid Cooled. Main danger: Reenie's Dream — Reenie's Dream has steamed in 22% in the market — the second-strongest move in the field — suggesting stable confidence despite poor recent form figures, and Bryan Smart with Paul Mulrennan is a combination worth respecting when they send a signal this clear.
Full result
Winner: Asadjumeirah (GB) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Asadjumeirah Fox #1 3/1
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2
Dream Forever 7/1
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3
Liquid Cooled Fox #2 7/2
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4
Reenie's Dream Fox #3 11/2
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5
Newyorkstateofmind Fox #4 7/1
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6
Northern Tempest 4/1
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7
Tommie's Angel 18/1
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Global Effort 66/1
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Victory Sound -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Asadjumeirah 10/3 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Liquid Cooled 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Reenie's Dream 9/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Newyorkstateofmind 17/2 5TH