Newcastle (AW) 17:10 RESULTED
Class 6 3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 6f

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Asadjumeirah (GB) Ethan Tindall · Antony Brittain
    9/4F
  2. 7/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Victory Sound silks
Victory Sound Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-5
073362
TBA
49
49OR
4
9-5
SP
1
Reenie's Dream silks
Reenie's Dream
Age 4 · 9-9
-99488
53
57
56
4
9-9
11/2 11/2 9/2
Winless in her last five starts and down the field on her two most recent outings, Reenie's Dream at least has experience of today's trip and going, and 15 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh — the fourth here runs off a handy weight at 135 lb, though consistency is the pressing concern.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Asadjumeirah silks
Asadjumeirah
Age 8 · 9-8
386916
52
61
57
8
9-8
3/1 3/1 11/4
Bounced back to win two starts back and returns here on a quick 14-day turnaround in good heart, he has run over today's trip and going before and carries 134 lb from stall three; the sixth last time out is the only blemish worth noting.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Northern Tempest silks
Northern Tempest
Age 3 · 9-6
834655
52
57
62
3
9-6
4/1 3/1 10/3
Northern Tempest is the top-rated runner in this field and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a genuine threat from stall nine despite carrying 132 lb; the main risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Liquid Cooled silks
Liquid Cooled
Age 3 · 9-4
-14356
50
62
58
3
9-4
7/2 3/1 10/3
Liquid Cooled shaped well when third three starts back and brings handy distance and going experience into this, with our rating of 58 giving him a strong case at the weights off stall two; the concern is that his last two runs have yielded only a fifth and a sixth.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Tommie's Angel silks
Tommie's Angel
Age 3 · 9-4
4705
50
40
49
3
9-4
18/1 12/1 18/1
Winless in her last four starts, Tommie's Angel at least has experience over today's trip and going to call on, and a 35-day break may have freshened her; carrying 130 lb from stall six, though, she faces a stiff ask to improve on a modest recent profile.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Dream Forever silks
Dream Forever
Age 3 · 9-2
240001
48
54
47
3
9-2
7/1 10/3 7/1
Dream Forever showed up with a win fifteen days ago but that single success in his last six starts, alongside three unplaced efforts in between, does little to inspire confidence, and a speed rating of 44 ranked seventh of eight makes him very hard to fancy at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Global Effort silks
Global Effort
Age 6 · 9-1
369888
45
26
46
6
9-1
66/1 FCST 50/1
Winless in his last six starts, with three consecutive eighths the most recent of those, Global Effort heads here just two days after his latest run and ranks last on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite having experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

9
Newyorkstateofmind silks
Newyorkstateofmind
Age 9 · 9-1
684869
45
52
52
9
9-1
7/1 17/2 6/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a best recent effort of fourth four starts back, Newyorkstateofmind faces a stiff task off an official mark of 45, and a trainer without a winner in 20 recent attempts does little to inspire confidence, though he has distance and going experience and returns fit on 14 days' rest.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Victory Sound
1 Reenie's Dream 11/2 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 9/2 open 6.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Asadjumeirah 3/1 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
3 Northern Tempest 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
5 Liquid Cooled 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
6 Tommie's Angel 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Dream Forever 7/1 open 4.50 15/2 open 4.33 15/2 open 4.33 15/2 open 4.33 15/2 open 4.33 15/2 open 4.50 15/2 Paddy Power
8 Global Effort 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365
9 Newyorkstateofmind 7/1 open 26.00 13/2 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 6/1 open 9.50 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Asadjumeirah

Speculative

Asadjumeirah owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Antony Brittain Ethan Tindall(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Northern Tempest

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Michael Dods
✓ Value Signal

Global Effort

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Phil McEntee
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Asadjumeirah
49.5 3/1
2 3. Northern Tempest
48.0 4/1
3 5. Liquid Cooled
46.4 7/2
4 9. Newyorkstateofmind
46.1 7/1
5 1. Reenie's Dream
46.1 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Asadjumeirah
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 8 · 9-8
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 9-1
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Asadjumeirah
Confidence: Speculative

Asadjumeirah (SR 61, 10/3) is the highest-rated runner in this modest Class 6 field and brings the standout course record of W2P8 at Newcastle AW — a genuine track specialist. Carrying 9-8, it sits comfortably in the mid-weight range and trainer Antony Brittain's 8% strike rate is workmanlike but acceptable at this level. The MarkMv:+8 is a concern, running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win, but the course familiarity and top SR in the field outweigh that penalty against this opposition. The market makes it favourite at 10/3, and while DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flag surface/trip concerns shared almost universally across this field, the course form edge is the decisive differentiator. Each-way alternative: Liquid Cooled. Main danger: Reenie's Dream — Reenie's Dream has steamed in 22% in the market — the second-strongest move in the field — suggesting stable confidence despite poor recent form figures, and Bryan Smart with Paul Mulrennan is a combination worth respecting when they send a signal this clear.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win (MarkMv:+8) is a significant penalty in a Class 6 field where margins are tight and the horse's last six runs show only one placing (6th most recently).
  • Jockey Ethan Tindall (5) carries an apprentice claim but holds only a 9% strike rate from a modest sample of 132 rides — well below the level you'd want for a short-priced favourite.
  • Liquid Cooled holds a higher raw SR of 62 (vs 61), also has course form (W1P1 at Newcastle AW), and is a younger 3yo at 7/2 — a direct rival the primary pick does not clearly eclipse on ratings.
  • Age 8 with recent form reading 386916 suggests declining consistency; the single '1' in that sequence came off a much lower mark, and the trend since does not support confidence at this raised rating.
Shortlist Asadjumeirah, Liquid Cooled, Reenie's Dream, Newyorkstateofmind
Each-way: Liquid Cooled Danger: Reenie's Dream

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade