← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bettingsites.co.uk Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
The Third Star
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 7/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
The Third Star (SR:86, 6/4) leads the field on Saturday Rating and has steamed in 22% in the market — the strongest positive market move in this race by some distance, signalling informed confidence. Owen Burrows operates at an 18% strike rate from 232 runners, a solid yard, and Callum Rodriguez (17%, 694) is a capable booking. The form string 97-522 shows consistency at this level, and while DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), she is the class leader and the market is backing her strongly enough to justify the short price. Chantelle (SR:88) rates marginally higher on SR but has drifted 22% — a significant market signal against — and her headgear change to cheekpieces at a course where she has only one place from one visit adds uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Great Mates. Main danger: Chantelle — Chantelle holds the top SR (88) in the field, is trained by the sharp Sir Mark Prescott (20% strike rate) who rarely runs horses without intent, and has a confirmed positive going fit — the market drift may reflect the headgear switch to cheekpieces rather than any genuine lack of confidence from connections.
Full result
Winner: The Third Star (GB) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Third Star Fox #1 13/8
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2
Great Mates Fox #3 9/2
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3
Borjina 8/1
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4
Luminare Fox #4 15/2
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5
Chantelle Fox #2 7/2
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6
Enola Grey 12/1
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7
Alessia Fernanda 20/1
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8
Beauty By My Side 125/1
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Alterity 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4