Southwell (AW) 18:40 RESULTED
Class 4 3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Bettingsites.co.uk Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Bettingsites.co.uk Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m0f14y

Official Result

Bettingsites.co.uk Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Third Star (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Owen Burrows
    7/4F
  2. 100/30
  3. Third Borjina (GB)
    9/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Great Mates silks
Great Mates
Age 4 · 9-10
-24614
76
81
76
4
9-10
9/2 11/2 7/2
Landed a win two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, so Great Mates arrives with solid claims here; the main concern is a fourth last time out suggesting she may need to find a little more to threaten at the finish.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
The Third Star silks
The Third Star
Age 4 · 9-10
97-522
76
86
83
4
9-10
13/8 2/1 5/4
Consistent filly who has finished second in each of her last two starts, and with experience over today's trip and conditions, The Third Star looks the one to beat off 136 lb from stall nine, though a win remains elusive after a 56-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Chantelle silks
Chantelle
Age 3 · 9-9
1-1223
80
88
77
3
9-9
7/2 9/4 5/2
Chantelle arrives in fine fettle after two wins in her last five starts, most recently a third last time out off a 20-day break, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour; the 135 lb burden is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Luminare silks
Luminare
Age 3 · 9-6
-62322
77
83
76
3
9-6
15/2 3/1 15/2
Consistent without a win in her last five starts, Luminare has placed four times in that span and has run over today's trip and going, though 48 days off and carrying 132 lb from stall one are factors to weigh against her.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Alessia Fernanda silks
Alessia Fernanda
Age 6 · 9-5
186726
71
51
73
6
9-5
20/1 12/1 20/1
Alessia Fernanda has run over today's trip and going, and a second two starts back shows she can threaten, though a sixth last time out and a win six starts back suggest inconsistency is the concern carrying 131 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Enola Grey silks
Enola Grey
Age 6 · 9-4
566800
70
64
77
6
9-4
12/1 8/1 15/2
Winless in her last six starts, Enola Grey nevertheless carries a speed rating of 82 that suggests more ability than her recent form shows, and she has run over today's distance and going before; the concern is that unplaced efforts in her two most recent starts leave her needing to find an upturn quickly.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Beauty By My Side silks
Beauty By My Side
Age 4 · 9-1
6-0008
67
45
73
4
9-1
125/1 40/1 100/1
Winless in her last five starts, with three unplaced efforts among them, Beauty By My Side makes little appeal on these figures despite being rated 73 and having run over today's trip and going; she remains hard to fancy from stall six at 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

8
Borjina silks
Borjina
Age 3 · 9-1
4-1725
72
64
67
3
9-1
8/1 9/1 6/1
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Borjina is hard to fancy at face value, though she does have distance and going experience to call on and posted a second two starts back to show she can find form.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Alterity silks
Alterity
Age 3 · 9-1
5-3316
72
49
61
3
9-1
40/1 12/1 33/1
Rated well below her rivals on our figures and ranked last of nine, Alterity is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back; that sixth last time out, after 42 days off, does little to encourage confidence, though she has run over today's trip and draws stall two.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Great Mates 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
2 The Third Star 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.00 5/4 open 3.00 5/4 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 13/8 Bet365
3 Chantelle 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
4 Luminare 15/2 open 4.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 William Hill
5 Alessia Fernanda 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 25/1 William Hill
6 Enola Grey 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Beauty By My Side 125/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365
8 Borjina 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
9 Alterity 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Chantelle

Speculative

Chantelle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

The Third Star

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Owen Burrows
✓ Value Signal

Alterity

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Charlie Johnston
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Chantelle
55.7 7/2
2 2. The Third Star
53.8 13/8
3 1. Great Mates
53.0 9/2
4 4. Luminare
48.8 15/2
5 8. Borjina
46.6 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
The Third Star
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-10
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-5
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
The Third Star
Confidence: Speculative

The Third Star (SR:86, 6/4) leads the field on Saturday Rating and has steamed in 22% in the market — the strongest positive market move in this race by some distance, signalling informed confidence. Owen Burrows operates at an 18% strike rate from 232 runners, a solid yard, and Callum Rodriguez (17%, 694) is a capable booking. The form string 97-522 shows consistency at this level, and while DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), she is the class leader and the market is backing her strongly enough to justify the short price. Chantelle (SR:88) rates marginally higher on SR but has drifted 22% — a significant market signal against — and her headgear change to cheekpieces at a course where she has only one place from one visit adds uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Great Mates. Main danger: Chantelle — Chantelle holds the top SR (88) in the field, is trained by the sharp Sir Mark Prescott (20% strike rate) who rarely runs horses without intent, and has a confirmed positive going fit — the market drift may reflect the headgear switch to cheekpieces rather than any genuine lack of confidence from connections.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit and GoingFit both unproven ('?') — no demonstrated ability on Southwell AW, which is a unique Fibresand surface that catches unknowns out regularly.
  • 56-day absence is the longest layoff in the field; her form string 97-522 shows a declining run-of-form sequence with back-to-back 2nds then a 2 — no win in last five starts.
  • Chantelle (SR:88) is the superior-rated horse trained by Sir Mark Prescott (20% strike rate, higher than Burrows), who excels at placing horses on AW — her drift may reflect a tactical/market play ra…
  • At 6/4 in a nine-runner handicap where her distance and going suitability are both unverified, the price offers little margin for error if the Fibresand surface doesn't suit.
Shortlist The Third Star, Chantelle, Great Mates, Luminare
Each-way: Great Mates Danger: Chantelle

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade