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Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Hot And Cold
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 7/4J Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Hot And Cold (SR:89, 9/4) is the class standout by a clear margin — 9 SR points clear of the next best Franschhoek (SR:80) and 19 points ahead of the field average — and carries a workable 9-10 against the heavier-weighted runners. The 18% market shortening is the most significant steaming signal in the field and reflects sharp stable confidence from Sir Mark Prescott (20% strike rate, 323 runners), a yard renowned for placing horses precisely. The form line 61-125 shows a win on the second start of this campaign followed by a placed run, suggesting the horse is building in form, and Luke Morris (12%, 1,488 career runners) is a reliable booking for Prescott. The unknown distance and going fit (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) are the main caveat, but at Class 4 on AW good with the strongest SR and biggest market move, the case is compelling. Each-way alternative: Franschhoek. Main danger: Franschhoek — Franschhoek (SR:80, 9/4) shares the same odds, carries 2lb less than Hot And Cold, and has a trainer (Fanshawe, 19%) and jockey (Loughnane, 19%) pairing with elite strike rates — the 31 form (win then win) is a flawless recent sequence, and if the drift from the morning reflects ante-post activity rather than genuine concern, the horse retains every chance of reversing the SR deficit through weight and raw progression.
Full result
Winner: Hot And Cold (GB) at SP 7/4J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hot And Cold Fox #1 15/8
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2
Hale End Fox #3 15/2
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3
Kaleido 17/2
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4
American State 17/2
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5
Roaring Ralph 16/1
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6
Franschhoek Fox #2 5/2
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7
Kalamunda 10/1
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8
Savile Row 28/1
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9
Double Eagle 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hot And Cold 9/4 SP 7/4J 🏆 WON
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2
Franschhoek 9/4 6TH
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3
Hale End 7/1 🥈 2ND