Southwell (AW) 19:10 RESULTED
Class 4 3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes

Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes · 1m0f14y

Official Result

Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hot And Cold (GB) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    7/4J
  2. 17/2
  3. Third Kaleido (GB)
    8/1
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Southwell (AW)

16:30–20:10 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hale End silks
Hale End
Age 6 · 10-0
220714
80
77
89
6
10-0
15/2 FCST 13/2
Hale End won two starts back and arrives here on a pleasing prep of 26 days, carrying 140 lb from stall five over a trip and ground he has encountered before, and an 89 rating puts him ahead of his official mark of 80, making him our preferred selection despite a modest fourth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kalamunda silks
Kalamunda
Age 6 · 10-0
446-25
80
71
83
6
10-0
10/1 9/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts, Kalamunda does show a second two starts back, though a fifth last time out after 63 days off raises a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 140 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kaleido silks
Kaleido
Age 4 · 9-13
092257
79
74
86
4
9-13
17/2 8/1 7/1
Kaleido has shown real consistency at this level, back-to-back seconds three and four starts back hinting at a horse ready to go one better, and he returns on a sharp 12-day turnaround in good nick; the concern is he has been winless in his last six starts and may find the same rival too strong again.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Hot And Cold silks
Hot And Cold
Age 3 · 9-10
61-125
81
89
89
3
9-10
15/8 9/4 7/4
Hot And Cold has winning form in her recent starts, scoring back-to-back three and four starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the main concern is that six-week absence and a hefty 136 lb to shoulder.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Franschhoek silks
Franschhoek
Age 3 · 9-8
31
79
80
79
3
9-8
5/2 7/4 5/2
Franschhoek won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but he carries 134 lb from stall four and a speed rating of 68 leaves him with plenty to prove against stronger-rated rivals.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Roaring Ralph silks
Roaring Ralph
Age 6 · 9-8
211307
74
61
79
6
9-8
16/1 11/1 16/1
Roaring Ralph has finished seventh and unplaced in his last two starts, making him hard to fancy here despite a third three starts back, and our figures rank him seventh of nine in the field; distance and going experience offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Savile Row silks
Savile Row
Age 3 · 9-6
9243-3
77
56
85
3
9-6
28/1 17/2 25/1
Savile Row has been a model of consistency, finishing third last time out and third two starts back, with a runner-up effort further back in recent form, and he has experience of today's distance and going; winless in his last five starts is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
American State silks
American State
Age 4 · 9-4
100642
70
68
77
4
9-4
17/2 11/2 8/1
American State won one in his last six starts, and with a speed rating of 67 ranking him eighth of nine runners, he is hard to fancy on these figures despite a second last time out and experience over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Double Eagle silks
Double Eagle
Age 3 · 8-6
5573-9
63
45
70
3
8-6
125/1 100/1 125/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Double Eagle is hard to fancy despite the return to familiar distance and going; a third two starts back offers slim encouragement, but stall one is his only other notable angle.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hale End 15/2 open 8.00 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Kalamunda 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Kaleido 17/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.50 17/2 Bet365
4 Hot And Cold 15/8 open 4.50 15/8 open 3.75 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 7/4 open 4.00 7/4 open 3.25 2/1 Coral
5 Franschhoek 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 3.00 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.75 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 Coral
6 Roaring Ralph 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 Coral
7 Savile Row 28/1 open 9.50 33/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 Paddy Power
8 American State 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 Coral
9 Double Eagle 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hot And Cold

Speculative

Hot And Cold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Franschhoek

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Savile Row

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Antony Brittain
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Hot And Cold
54.2 15/8
2 5. Franschhoek
52.6 5/2
3 3. Kaleido
48.8 17/2
4 1. Hale End
48.4 15/2
5 8. American State
47.3 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hot And Cold
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-10
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 10-0
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 10-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hot And Cold
Confidence: Speculative

Hot And Cold (SR:89, 9/4) is the class standout by a clear margin — 9 SR points clear of the next best Franschhoek (SR:80) and 19 points ahead of the field average — and carries a workable 9-10 against the heavier-weighted runners. The 18% market shortening is the most significant steaming signal in the field and reflects sharp stable confidence from Sir Mark Prescott (20% strike rate, 323 runners), a yard renowned for placing horses precisely. The form line 61-125 shows a win on the second start of this campaign followed by a placed run, suggesting the horse is building in form, and Luke Morris (12%, 1,488 career runners) is a reliable booking for Prescott. The unknown distance and going fit (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) are the main caveat, but at Class 4 on AW good with the strongest SR and biggest market move, the case is compelling. Each-way alternative: Franschhoek. Main danger: Franschhoek — Franschhoek (SR:80, 9/4) shares the same odds, carries 2lb less than Hot And Cold, and has a trainer (Fanshawe, 19%) and jockey (Loughnane, 19%) pairing with elite strike rates — the 31 form (win then win) is a flawless recent sequence, and if the drift from the morning reflects ante-post activity rather than genuine concern, the horse retains every chance of reversing the SR deficit through weight and raw progression.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 41-day absence since last run — longer than most rivals (Kaleido 12 days, Franschhoek 16 days) and horses returning after 6+ weeks on AW often need the run to find full stride.
  • Form line 61-125 shows a '2' on the most recent start (placed, not winning), meaning the horse is not actually coming off a win and its best form may have been the Class 5 victory sandwiched between…
  • Franschhoek (SR:80, 9/4 joint-favourite) is trained by James Fanshawe (19% strike rate) with Billy Loughnane (19%) and is 16% drifted OUT suggesting market is splitting confidence — yet it is on a ti…
  • Unknown DistFit and GoingFit for a 3-year-old stepping into a mixed-age AW handicap at Southwell — no confirmed evidence this horse handles Fibresand, which can be uniquely testing and trip-specific.
Shortlist Hot And Cold, Franschhoek, Hale End
Each-way: Franschhoek Danger: Franschhoek

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade