← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Chemdawg
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 SP 5/1F Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Chemdawg (SR:90, 6/1, Wgt:10-2) carries one of the lightest competitive weights in the field, giving her a meaningful pound advantage over the top-weights despite a comparable SR. Her DistFit:+ confirms she handles this 2m3f trip, and her recent form of P21-25 shows she was winning at this level two runs ago before a creditable second last time out — consistent, in-form profile. Phillip Enright booking (7%, 657 career rides) is a reliable pilot. The slight market drift (out7%) is a mild concern but the weight-for-ability profile and proven distance credentials outweigh it against a field where rivals either carry significantly more weight or have glaring going/distance negatives. Each-way alternative: Ivana D'alco. Main danger: Ivana D'alco — Willie Mullins (21% strike rate, 1308 runners) is the strongest trainer in the field by a considerable margin, and Ivana D'alco's form of F41-61 includes a recent win, with Brian Hayes booked — the hat (HG:ht) is a first-time tongue-tie suggesting Mullins is looking to sharpen her up for this.
Full result
Winner: Chemdawg (IRE) at SP 5/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Chemdawg Fox #1 11/2
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2
Larkins Lane 11/1
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3
Bowgate Street 8/1
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4
Demanding Gerry 10/1
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5
Del Boys Diva 14/1
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6
Shirzan 17/2
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7
Steps In The Sand Fox #3 6/1
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8
Small Bucks Fox #4 18/1
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9
Circus Act 25/1
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10
Tir Og 11/1
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11
Diamond Tipp 8/1
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12
Andyourbirdcansing 16/1
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Ivana D'alco Fox #2 6/1
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Laurie Blue 28/1
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Evelyn 20/1
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Last Note 40/1
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Frontier Rose -
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St Anthonys Corner -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Chemdawg 6/1 SP 5/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Ivana D'alco 6/1
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3
Steps In The Sand 13/2 7TH
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4
Small Bucks 14/1 8TH