Kilbeggan 17:15 RESULTED
3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle

Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m3f

Official Result

Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Chemdawg (IRE) Phillip Enright · Oliver McKiernan
    5/1F
  2. 8/1
  3. 9/1
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Haydock

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

13:42–18:15 · 9 races

Salisbury

13:53–17:55 · 8 races

Lingfield (AW)

15:10–19:00 · 8 races

Kilbeggan

15:30–19:18 · 8 races

Southwell (AW)

16:30–20:10 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tir Og silks
Tir Og
Age 5 · 11-12
38-704
109
88
112
5
11-12
11/1 10/1 11/1
SR 88 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Ivana D'alco silks
Ivana D'alco
Age 5 · 11-11
F41-61
108
92
101
5
11-11
6/1 5/1 11/2
Ivana D'alco returns on familiar going after a 28-day break, and her two wins in her last five starts — including a victory last time out — give her real claims, though a fall in recent form and a mark of 108 leave questions unanswered.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Small Bucks silks
Small Bucks
Age 5 · 11-10
401018
107
87
100
5
11-10
18/1 12/1 16/1
Small Bucks won two starts back but finished eighth last time out, and a six-day turnaround on today's going leaves freshness in question; the 164 lb burden will ask plenty of a mare ranked mid-division on ratings.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Del Boys Diva silks
Del Boys Diva
Age 6 · 11-8
0-9115
105
88
97
6
11-8
14/1 10/1 12/1
Del Boys Diva won two of her last five starts, with back-to-back victories two and three runs back giving her solid recent claims, but she was fifth last time out and our rating of 97 leaves her with ground to make up on the top-rated runners.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Shirzan silks
Shirzan
Age 4 · 11-8
731-6
107
80
82
4
11-8
17/2 6/1 8/1
Rated well below her official mark on our figures and ranked near the foot of the field, Shirzan is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and the fact she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Diamond Tipp silks
Diamond Tipp
Age 6 · 11-4
P-8P27
101
86
105
6
11-4
8/1 7/1 8/1
Diamond Tipp shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going stands her in good stead carrying 158 lb; the main risk is her inconsistency, having pulled up on two occasions in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Steps In The Sand silks
Steps In The Sand
Age 7 · 10-10
8-4342
93
91
95
7
10-10
6/1 11/2 6/1
Steps In The Sand arrives on the back of a second last time out, and third three starts back hints at consistency, though she remains yet to win in her last five starts; the 150 lb burden is a stern test for a mare rated 93 officially.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Laurie Blue silks
Laurie Blue
Age 8 · 10-9
6P-40P
92
64
102
8
10-9
28/1 20/1 25/1
Laurie Blue returns after 55 days off carrying 149 lb, and her experience on today's going is a genuine asset for a mare our rating marks as the fourth-best of 18 here; the worry is a patchy recent spell that includes two pulled-up efforts, leaving her yet to score in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Andyourbirdcansing silks
Andyourbirdcansing
Age 8 · 10-8
-56510
91
79
89
8
10-8
16/1 12/1 14/1
Ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, Andyourbirdcansing heads here on the back of an unplaced effort, and her record of one win in her last five starts offers little encouragement, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a reasonable 28-day break.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Bowgate Street silks
Bowgate Street
Age 7 · 10-8
180273
91
86
93
7
10-8
8/1 10/1 15/2
Bowgate Street shaped well enough with a third last time out, and a second three starts back gives her an obvious place claim, though a subsequent seventh and a long losing run in recent starts suggest inconsistency remains the worry under 148 lb.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Evelyn silks
Evelyn
Age 6 · 10-8
03-4P8
91
64
93
6
10-8
20/1 16/1 18/1
Winless in her last five starts and pulled up two runs back, Evelyn heads here 55 days on, carrying 148 lb; she has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 93 offers mild encouragement, though she faces a stiff task from a midfield ranking of ten of eighteen.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

12
Last Note silks
Last Note
Age 6 · 10-6
295-09
89
67
104
6
10-6
40/1 33/1 40/1
Last Note has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 104 against an official mark of 89, she carries the profile of a live threat — yet winless in her last five starts and returning after 90 days off, a return to form is the key question under 146 lb.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
Circus Act silks
Circus Act
Age 7 · 10-5
F95-70
88
67
97
7
10-5
25/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in her last five starts and stepping out after 41 days off, Circus Act does have experience over today's trip and going to call upon, though a tendency to find little in recent runs — and a 145 lb burden — makes progress hard to predict.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

14
Chemdawg silks
Chemdawg
Age 7 · 10-2
P21-25
85
90
84
7
10-2
11/2 5/1 11/2
Ranked well below the field on our figures and clearly hard to fancy, though Chemdawg does bring distance and going experience to the table, and her second two starts back shows she can hit the frame; the 5th last time out, however, does little to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Larkins Lane silks
Larkins Lane
Age 7 · 10-2
-91184
85
85
81
7
10-2
11/1 10/1 11/1
Back-to-back wins three and four starts back give Larkins Lane some profile, but she has finished fourth and eighth in her two runs since, and ranked last of 18 on our figures, she faces a stiff task under 142 lb despite having experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Demanding Gerry silks
Demanding Gerry
Age 7 · 10-0
20-24P
83
72
88
7
10-0
10/1 12/1 9/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, Demanding Gerry is hard to fancy, her most recent outing ending in a pulled-up, though she has placed twice in recent starts and does have experience over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

17
Frontier Rose silks
Frontier Rose
Age 5 · 10-0
0-0866
TBA
83
77
88
5
10-0
SP 12/1 8/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 14th of 18 on our figures, Frontier Rose faces a stiff task, though she has experience of today's going and returns after a 28-day break fresh enough to improve.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
St Anthonys Corner silks
St Anthonys Corner
Age 6 · 10-0
/0900-
TBA
83
60
90
6
10-0
SP FCST 33/1
Yet to score in her last four starts and returning from a 337-day absence, St Anthonys Corner faces a stiff ask under 140 lb, though she has run over today's trip and conditions before and our rating of 90 suggests she retains some ability.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tir Og 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 Bet365
2 Ivana D'alco 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 6/1 Bet365
3 Small Bucks 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
4 Del Boys Diva 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
5 Shirzan 17/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
6 Diamond Tipp 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
7 Steps In The Sand 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
8 Laurie Blue 28/1 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Andyourbirdcansing 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 16/1 Bet365
10 Bowgate Street 8/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
11 Evelyn 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Last Note 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365
13 Circus Act 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 25/1 Bet365
14 Chemdawg 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 11/2 Bet365
15 Larkins Lane 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 Bet365
16 Demanding Gerry 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
17 Frontier Rose 11/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 William Hill
18 St Anthonys Corner 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bowgate Street

Speculative

Bowgate Street owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (63). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/1 M Flannery Darragh O'Keeffe
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Chemdawg

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Oliver McKiernan
✓ Value Signal

Laurie Blue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · E D Delany
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +13.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Bowgate Street
53.4 8/1
2 14. Chemdawg
52.3 11/2
3 2. Ivana D'alco
52.2 6/1
4 6. Diamond Tipp
51.7 8/1
5 7. Steps In The Sand
51.5 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Chemdawg
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

14
Age 7 · 10-2
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-11
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 10-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 11-4
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 10-8
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 11-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 7 · 10-0
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 7 · 10-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 10-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-10
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 10-8
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Chemdawg
Confidence: Speculative

Chemdawg (SR:90, 6/1, Wgt:10-2) carries one of the lightest competitive weights in the field, giving her a meaningful pound advantage over the top-weights despite a comparable SR. Her DistFit:+ confirms she handles this 2m3f trip, and her recent form of P21-25 shows she was winning at this level two runs ago before a creditable second last time out — consistent, in-form profile. Phillip Enright booking (7%, 657 career rides) is a reliable pilot. The slight market drift (out7%) is a mild concern but the weight-for-ability profile and proven distance credentials outweigh it against a field where rivals either carry significantly more weight or have glaring going/distance negatives. Each-way alternative: Ivana D'alco. Main danger: Ivana D'alco — Willie Mullins (21% strike rate, 1308 runners) is the strongest trainer in the field by a considerable margin, and Ivana D'alco's form of F41-61 includes a recent win, with Brian Hayes booked — the hat (HG:ht) is a first-time tongue-tie suggesting Mullins is looking to sharpen her up for this.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Chemdawg's HG code 'tb' (tongue-tie and blinkers) suggests a horse that needs gear aids to focus — the reliance on headgear in a 18-runner Kilbeggan handicap over 2m3f raises a concentration/jumping…
  • MarkMv:+8 means the handicapper has raised her 8lbs since her last winning run, potentially eroding the weight advantage the primary analyst is banking on; she's now rated off a higher mark than when…
  • Trainer Oliver McKiernan strikes at only 5% (154 runners), a very low strike rate — significantly below the field's leading connections such as Mullins (21%) — making stable form questionable.
  • Ivana D'Alco (Mullins, 6/1, SR:92, only 28 days since last run, form F41-61) matches Chemdawg on odds but brings superior trainer firepower and a higher SR despite her going concern, representing a s…
Shortlist Chemdawg, Ivana D'alco, Steps In The Sand, Small Bucks
Each-way: Ivana D'alco Danger: Ivana D'alco

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m3f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Kilbeggan Track and setting