← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Back In Favour
SPECULATIVE Advised 8/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Back In Favour (SR:89, 8/1) is the most compelling case in an opaque mares bumper. The 34% market steam is the standout signal in this field — money moving from double-figures to 8/1 on a horse with a multi-run form line (521-83) in a field dominated by once-runners is meaningful. The SR of 89 is second only to Tamara Jane (95) and comfortably clear of the Mullins runner Peat Sounds (87). Crucially, Back In Favour has race experience across several starts, giving connections a clear picture of where the horse is — unlike single-run rivals — and the sharp market move suggests something has clicked in preparation. Anthony McCann's 7% strike rate is modest, but market confidence here overrides trainer stats. Each-way alternative: Tamara Jane. Main danger: Peat Sounds — Peat Sounds carries the W P Mullins / Patrick Mullins combination — a 21%/29% strike-rate pairing that commands respect in any bumper despite a single run to its name, and although it has drifted 8% its SR of 87 and the sheer weight of Mullins bumper expertise means it cannot be written off.
Full result
Winner: Pat O's Rock (IRE) at SP 85/40F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pat O's Rock Fox #4 9/4
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2
Bambi Fever 50/1
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3
Tamara Jane Fox #2 10/3
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4
Ballito Beauty 15/2
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5
Bonnie Loch 40/1
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6
Pamelaisbrass 20/1
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7
Velvet Ash 13/2
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8
Peat Sounds Fox #3 9/4
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9
No Brainer 100/1
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10
Hakuna Suala 40/1
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—
Back In Favour Fox #1 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Back In Favour 8/1
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2
Tamara Jane 3/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Peat Sounds 2/1 8TH
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4
Pat O's Rock 9/2 SP 85/40F 🏆 WON