Kilbeggan 18:48 RESULTED
3 Sep 2026

Thursday 3 September Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race · 2m3f

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pat O's Rock (IRE) Mr J L Gleeson · Henry De Bromhead
    85/40F
  2. 33/1
  3. 9/4
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Haydock

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

13:42–18:15 · 9 races

Salisbury

13:53–17:55 · 8 races

Lingfield (AW)

15:10–19:00 · 8 races

Kilbeggan

15:30–19:18 · 8 races

Southwell (AW)

16:30–20:10 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Back In Favour silks
Back In Favour
Age 5 · 11-11
521-83
89
94
5
11-11
7/1 FCST 13/2
Back In Favour arrives here on the back of a third last time out and a win three starts back, showing she retains the ability to compete at this level, and her experience on today's going is a further plus; the weight burden of 165 lb is the key question.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ballito Beauty silks
Ballito Beauty
Age 5 · 11-11
2
77
78
5
11-11
15/2 5/1 7/1
Ballito Beauty shaped with some promise when second last time out, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a featherweight she is not — 165 lb is a stiff burden — and our rating ranks her sixth of eleven, making her hard to fancy at face value.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Bambi Fever silks
Bambi Fever
Age 5 · 11-11
8
46
71
5
11-11
50/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in recent starts and ranked seventh of eleven on our figures, Bambi Fever faces a stiff ask under 165 lb, though she has run over today's going before and the 42-day break at least gives connections time to have her tuned up.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

4
Bonnie Loch silks
Bonnie Loch
Age 6 · 11-11
7
62
6
11-11
40/1 33/1 40/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Bonnie Loch is yet to win in recent starts but remains open to improvement; last seen finishing seventh thirty-one days ago, she returns fresh enough to step forward under a welterweight burden of 165 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
No Brainer silks
No Brainer
Age 5 · 11-11
P-P00
63
5
11-11
100/1 FCST 50/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, No Brainer is yet to win in her last four starts but returns quickly after just 13 days, and the burden of 165 lb will need managing as connections look to unlock her potential.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

6
Pamelaisbrass silks
Pamelaisbrass
Age 5 · 11-11
6-0663
61
82
5
11-11
20/1 18/1 20/1
Winless in her last five starts, Pamelaisbrass does bring distance and going experience to the table and her third last time out shows she can threaten the frame, though 165 lb is a stern ask against this field.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Pat O's Rock silks
Pat O's Rock
Age 5 · 11-11
4
91
95
5
11-11
9/4 7/2 2/1
Pat O's Rock finished fourth on her latest start and, with going experience in her favour and a rating of 95 placing her second in the field, she looks a genuine threat; the concern is the weight burden of 165 lb on a mare yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Peat Sounds silks
Peat Sounds
Age 5 · 11-11
3
87
85
5
11-11
9/4 31/19 9/4
Peat Sounds shaped with promise when third last time out, has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 85 puts her firmly in contention as a leading danger; the main risk is she remains yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Tamara Jane silks
Tamara Jane
Age 6 · 11-11
U51-34
Mr A M O'Keeffe(7)
95
98
6
11-11
10/3 FCST 3/1
Ran a solid third two starts back before her recent fourth, and a winner three starts back, Tamara Jane has going experience to call on and her rating heads the field — 165 lb is the one query but she has the form to carry it.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Hakuna Suala silks
Hakuna Suala
Age 4 · 11-9
P-
61
4
11-9
40/1
Unexposed and open to improvement after just one start, Hakuna Suala returns from a 179-day absence following a pull-up on her sole outing, and this lightly raced filly remains yet to win but carries obvious potential for better under her 163 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Velvet Ash silks
Velvet Ash
Age 4 · 11-9
4
81
4
11-9
13/2 17/2 6/1
Unexposed and open to improvement after just one run to her name, Velvet Ash was fourth last time out and returns here after a 96-day break, carrying 163 lb, with plenty still to learn yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Back In Favour 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
2 Ballito Beauty 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
3 Bambi Fever 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Bonnie Loch 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
5 No Brainer 100/1 open 151.00 50/1 50/1 100/1 open 126.00 66/1 open 151.00 100/1 Bet365
6 Pamelaisbrass 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
7 Pat O's Rock 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 Bet365
8 Peat Sounds 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 Bet365
9 Tamara Jane 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 Bet365
10 Hakuna Suala 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
11 Velvet Ash 13/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pat O's Rock

Speculative

Pat O's Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Henry De Bromhead Mr J L Gleeson
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tamara Jane

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Jonathan Fogarty
✓ Value Signal

Bonnie Loch

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Edward F Power
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Pat O's Rock
58.0 9/4
2 9. Tamara Jane
57.7 10/3
3 1. Back In Favour
54.1 7/1
4 8. Peat Sounds
53.9 9/4
5 11. Velvet Ash
53.5 13/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Back In Favour
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 5 · 11-11
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 11-11
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 11-11
10/3
J: Mr A M O'Keeffe(7)
T: Jonathan Fogarty
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 11-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 11-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-11
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 11-11
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Back In Favour
Confidence: Speculative

Back In Favour (SR:89, 8/1) is the most compelling case in an opaque mares bumper. The 34% market steam is the standout signal in this field — money moving from double-figures to 8/1 on a horse with a multi-run form line (521-83) in a field dominated by once-runners is meaningful. The SR of 89 is second only to Tamara Jane (95) and comfortably clear of the Mullins runner Peat Sounds (87). Crucially, Back In Favour has race experience across several starts, giving connections a clear picture of where the horse is — unlike single-run rivals — and the sharp market move suggests something has clicked in preparation. Anthony McCann's 7% strike rate is modest, but market confidence here overrides trainer stats. Each-way alternative: Tamara Jane. Main danger: Peat Sounds — Peat Sounds carries the W P Mullins / Patrick Mullins combination — a 21%/29% strike-rate pairing that commands respect in any bumper despite a single run to its name, and although it has drifted 8% its SR of 87 and the sheer weight of Mullins bumper expertise means it cannot be written off.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 521-83: the last two runs show a slide to 8th and 3rd, suggesting regression rather than progression — the most recent run was a third, not a win, and the sequence trends downward.
  • Pat O's Rock (SR:91) carries the highest SR in the field, is trained by De Bromhead (14% strike rate) with a jockey on 18%, and is shorter in the market at 9/2 despite drifting only 9% — better conne…
  • Both Tamara Jane (SR:95, top-rated) and Peat Sounds (SR:87, Mullins/P W Mullins at 29%) sit between 2/1 and 3/1 — the market places Back In Favour third in betting confidence behind two rivals with s…
  • Jockey Miss A B O'Connor strikes at just 7% from 27 rides, and trainer Anthony McCann is also 7% from 121 — in a mares bumper where handler/rider quality is amplified, this combination is significant…
Shortlist Back In Favour, Tamara Jane, Peat Sounds, Pat O's Rock
Each-way: Tamara Jane Danger: Peat Sounds

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m3f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Kilbeggan Track and setting