← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Lexus Wrexham Open 2026 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Back In The Bay
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Back In The Bay (SR:100, 7/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-5 alongside Depalma, but crucially shows the strongest market signal in the field — a 12% move in since opening — while Depalma has drifted a significant 19% out from what was clearly an over-hyped favourite price. The form string 13-752 shows a win and a third at this grade, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, while the step up in class (↑1) is mitigated by the mark holding steady (MarkMv:=), suggesting the handicapper hasn't overreached. James Owen (17% SR) and Jonathan Burke (16% SR) are a competent, results-oriented combination for this level, and the 16-day freshness reads well for a 3m chaser in September. Each-way alternative: Ridin Solo. Main danger: Depalma — Despite drifting 19% in the market, Depalma (SR:105, 15/8) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin, shares the lightest competitive weight at 11-5, and the Dan/Harry Skelton combination (21%/27% strike rates) is the strongest yard-jockey pairing declared — if the drift is noise rather than signal, his raw ability makes him the most likely winner.
Full result
Winner: Limerick Leader (FR) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Limerick Leader 11/1
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2
Depalma Fox #2 13/8
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3
Royal Time 16/1
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4
Harrys Hope Fox #4 9/2
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5
Ridin Solo Fox #3 11/2
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6
Post Chaise 14/1
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Back In The Bay Fox #1 7/2
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Bahtiyar 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4