Bangor-on-Dee 16:35 RESULTED
Class 4 4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Lexus Wrexham Open 2026 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Lexus Wrexham Open 2026 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 3m0f30y

Official Result

Lexus Wrexham Open 2026 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Limerick Leader (FR) James Bowen · Nick Scholfield
    17/2
  2. Second Depalma (IRE)
    3/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Harrys Hope silks
Harrys Hope
Age 8 · 12-2
20-242
112
101
113
8
12-2
9/2 3/1 4/1
Harrys Hope has been knocking on the door with three seconds in her last five starts, and returning after just 16 days she looks fit and ready; she has run over today's trip and going before, and carrying 170 lb, she is the one to beat off a mark of 112.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Post Chaise silks
Post Chaise
Age 9 · 12-0
40512/
110
97
110
9
12-0
14/1 5/1 12/1
Post Chaise franked his winning form with a runner-up finish last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a genuine threat at the head of this field; the concern is 554 days off the track, and he will need to prove that rustiness is no issue carrying 168 lb.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Ridin Solo silks
Ridin Solo
Age 8 · 11-7
P/33-2
103
94
107
8
11-7
11/2 11/2 5/1
Consistent and eyecatching in his last three starts — third two runs back and second last time out — Ridin Solo arrives as a strong threat if his 83-day absence hasn't blunted his edge, though he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Back In The Bay silks
Back In The Bay
Age 7 · 11-5
13-752
101
100
108
7
11-5
7/2 4/1 7/2
Runner-up last time out and a winner five starts back, Back In The Bay has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 108 marks her as a serious threat carrying 159 lb; the main concern is her trainer's wretched recent strike-rate of just 1 from 35.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Depalma silks
Depalma
Age 7 · 11-5
231-23
101
105
98
7
11-5
13/8 18/13 31/19
Depalma showed a win and four placed efforts in his last five starts, and has experience of today's going in his favour, but he arrives 110 days since his last run and is ranked sixth of eight, making him a speculative each-way proposition at best.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Limerick Leader silks
Limerick Leader
Age 9 · 11-0
2-2334
96
89
100
9
11-0
11/1 10/1 9/1
Consistent without a win in his last five starts, Limerick Leader has been placed third two starts back and second four starts back, but that elusive first win continues to escape him; experience over today's trip and going, plus a quick 13-day turnaround, keep him interesting under 154 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Royal Time silks
Royal Time
Age 7 · 10-12
537U-4
94
74
90
7
10-12
16/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Royal Time faces a stiff task here; an unseated rider in recent form does little to inspire confidence, though he has experience of today's going and returns after 106 days off.
AI verdict

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Bahtiyar silks
Bahtiyar
Age 8 · 10-2
-44256
75
58
85
8
10-2
50/1 FCST 40/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Bahtiyar faces a stiff task off 142 lb, and 54 days between runs adds to the concern; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a second three starts back offers the sole crumb of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Harrys Hope 9/2 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Post Chaise 14/1 open 6.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
3 Ridin Solo 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 Bet365
4 Back In The Bay 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Paddy Power
5 Depalma 13/8 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 Paddy Power
6 Limerick Leader 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
7 Royal Time 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Bahtiyar 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Depalma

Speculative

Depalma owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ridin Solo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Donald McCain
✓ Value Signal

Bahtiyar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Max Young
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Depalma
58.0 13/8
2 3. Ridin Solo
57.7 11/2
3 1. Harrys Hope
56.9 9/2
4 4. Back In The Bay
56.4 7/2
5 2. Post Chaise
53.4 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Back In The Bay
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 7 · 11-5
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-5
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 12-2
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 8 · 11-7
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 9 · 11-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 9 · 12-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 10-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Back In The Bay
Confidence: Speculative

Back In The Bay (SR:100, 7/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-5 alongside Depalma, but crucially shows the strongest market signal in the field — a 12% move in since opening — while Depalma has drifted a significant 19% out from what was clearly an over-hyped favourite price. The form string 13-752 shows a win and a third at this grade, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, while the step up in class (↑1) is mitigated by the mark holding steady (MarkMv:=), suggesting the handicapper hasn't overreached. James Owen (17% SR) and Jonathan Burke (16% SR) are a competent, results-oriented combination for this level, and the 16-day freshness reads well for a 3m chaser in September. Each-way alternative: Ridin Solo. Main danger: Depalma — Despite drifting 19% in the market, Depalma (SR:105, 15/8) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin, shares the lightest competitive weight at 11-5, and the Dan/Harry Skelton combination (21%/27% strike rates) is the strongest yard-jockey pairing declared — if the drift is noise rather than signal, his raw ability makes him the most likely winner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 13-752 shows three consecutive finishes of 7th, 5th, and 2nd — the recent trajectory includes a 7th and 5th before last start's second, suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse peakin…
  • Depalma holds a 5-point SR superiority (105 vs 100) and despite the market drift, retains the Skelton yard/jockey combination (21%/27% SR) which is the standout trainer-jockey unit in the field by so…
  • Ridin Solo (6/1) is also moving in (9%) and carries 11-7 with a ★★★☆☆ rating — a stronger star rating than Back In The Bay's ★★☆☆☆ at an overlapping price point, suggesting market may be split on val…
  • The step up in class (↑1) for a horse rated SR:100 with no course win recorded (no Course: entry indicating a win) at a track like Bangor-on-Dee over 3m is a tangible ask, even if the mark is unchang…
Shortlist Back In The Bay, Depalma, Ridin Solo, Harrys Hope
Each-way: Ridin Solo Danger: Depalma

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m0f30y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Bangor-on-Dee Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade