Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

17:21 Kempton (AW) Fri 04 Sep 2026 0m7f0y Class 4 Good to Soft 14 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Sontsivka

HIGH Advised 1/2 SP 1/2F Est. 52%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Sontsivka (SR:156, 1/2) stands out as the class act in this field by a significant margin — a 7-point SR gap over second-best Xochipilli (SR:149) is meaningful in a Class 4 novice with a field full of maidens and low-rated runners. The market has backed this assessment emphatically, shortening 22% since opening to odds-on, and Marco Ghiani (15% strike rate, 931 runners) is a strong booking for a horse Hugo Palmer wants to win. Carrying just 9-7 on good to soft at Kempton AW, there are no weight concerns, and a debut second suggests the horse handled competition well enough to improve and dominate this weaker company. With 11 of 13 rivals carrying SRs below 140 and no credible danger at a realistic market price, this is a straightforward short-price selection. Each-way alternative: Xochipilli. Main danger: Xochipilli — Xochipilli (SR:149, 9/2) is the only other horse with a strong SR and market confidence — slight 8% steamer with Billy Loughnane riding, and a debut fourth suggests considerable untapped improvement possible over this 7f trip.

Verify· #16052

Full result

Winner: Sontsivka (GB) at SP 1/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.