Kempton (AW) 17:21 RESULTED
Class 4 4 Sep 2026

Friday 4 September Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sontsivka (GB) Marco Ghiani · Hugo Palmer
    1/2F
  2. 5/1
  3. 5/1
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Kempton (AW)

17:21–20:24 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Give Hand silks
Give Hand Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-7
3
2
9-7
SP
1
Admiral Leach silks
Admiral Leach
Age 2 · 9-7
0
120
2
9-7
33/1 66/1 33/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Notimetotakeoff silks
Notimetotakeoff
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
14/1 15/2 12/1
SR 133 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 133 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Scienza silks
Scienza
Age 2 · 9-7
7
124
2
9-7
40/1 40/1 28/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sontsivka silks
Sontsivka
Age 2 · 9-7
2
156
2
9-7
8/15 4/5 1/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Xochipilli silks
Xochipilli
Age 2 · 9-7
4
149
2
9-7
9/2 10/3 7/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Yuzuru silks
Yuzuru
Age 2 · 9-7
128
2
9-7
12/1 9/1 17/2
SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Greenlander silks
Greenlander
Age 2 · 9-4
3
137
2
9-4
18/1 8/1 12/1
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Ground Force silks
Ground Force
Age 2 · 9-4
09
121
2
9-4
300/1 150/1 80/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Jenny Rae silks
Jenny Rae
Age 2 · 9-2
122
2
9-2
33/1 18/1 33/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Light Fingered silks
Light Fingered
Age 2 · 9-2
122
2
9-2
33/1 18/1 22/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Hidden Beyond silks
Hidden Beyond
Age 2 · 8-13
3
147
2
8-13
17/2 9/2 17/2
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

13
Little Copper silks
Little Copper
Age 2 · 8-13
124
2
8-13
125/1 66/1 100/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Sueboys silks
Sueboys
Age 2 · 8-13
124
2
8-13
66/1 16/1 66/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Give Hand
1 Admiral Leach 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 81.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 81.00 40/1 Paddy Power
3 Notimetotakeoff 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Paddy Power
4 Scienza 40/1 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Sontsivka 8/15 open 2.25 4/7 open 1.80 1/2 open 2.10 1/2 open 2.00 1/2 open 2.20 1/2 open 1.83 4/7 Paddy Power
6 Xochipilli 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365
7 Yuzuru 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
8 Greenlander 18/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.50 20/1 Paddy Power
9 Ground Force 300/1 open 151.00 250/1 open 151.00 80/1 open 151.00 80/1 open 151.00 250/1 open 151.00 250/1 open 201.00 300/1 Bet365
10 Jenny Rae 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Light Fingered 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Hidden Beyond 17/2 open 5.50 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 6.50 10/1 Paddy Power
13 Little Copper 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 125/1 Bet365
14 Sueboys 66/1 open 19.00 66/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 17.00 80/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 17.00 80/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sontsivka

Live signal

Sontsivka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/15 Hugo Palmer Marco Ghiani
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Xochipilli

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Mark Loughnane
✓ Value Signal

Sueboys

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Ollie Sangster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Sontsivka
70.9 8/15
2 6. Xochipilli
69.3 9/2
3 12. Hidden Beyond
64.4 17/2
4 7. Yuzuru
58.1 12/1
5 8. Greenlander
57.1 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sontsivka
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-7
8/15
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

12
Age 2 · 8-13
17/2
★★★★☆ SR 147 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 128 🐾

SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 137 🐾

SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sontsivka
Confidence: High

Sontsivka (SR:156, 1/2) stands out as the class act in this field by a significant margin — a 7-point SR gap over second-best Xochipilli (SR:149) is meaningful in a Class 4 novice with a field full of maidens and low-rated runners. The market has backed this assessment emphatically, shortening 22% since opening to odds-on, and Marco Ghiani (15% strike rate, 931 runners) is a strong booking for a horse Hugo Palmer wants to win. Carrying just 9-7 on good to soft at Kempton AW, there are no weight concerns, and a debut second suggests the horse handled competition well enough to improve and dominate this weaker company. With 11 of 13 rivals carrying SRs below 140 and no credible danger at a realistic market price, this is a straightforward short-price selection. Each-way alternative: Xochipilli. Main danger: Xochipilli — Xochipilli (SR:149, 9/2) is the only other horse with a strong SR and market confidence — slight 8% steamer with Billy Loughnane riding, and a debut fourth suggests considerable untapped improvement possible over this 7f trip.

Case against 3
  • Sontsivka's only run ended in a debut second — beaten form that has not been franked by the horse that beat it, leaving the SR of 156 potentially overstated for a once-raced juvenile.
  • Hugo Palmer's stable strike rate of 12% is modest; at 1/2 the margin for error is zero and any bounce or greenness from a lightly-raced 2yo on AW debut could prove costly.
  • Xochipilli (SR:149, 9/2) was only 13 days ago, fresher, with Billy Loughnane's elite 19% strike rate — a sharper, well-handicapped rival at a generous price represents a live threat at the odds.
Shortlist Sontsivka, Xochipilli, Hidden Beyond
Each-way: Xochipilli Danger: Xochipilli

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade