Sontsivka
Live signalSontsivka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y
SR 120 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 133 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Give Hand | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Admiral Leach | 33/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 81.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 33/1 open 81.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Notimetotakeoff | 14/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Scienza | 40/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Sontsivka | 8/15 open 2.25 | 4/7 open 1.80 | 1/2 open 2.10 | 1/2 open 2.00 | 1/2 open 2.20 | 1/2 open 1.83 | 4/7 Paddy Power |
| 6 Xochipilli | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Yuzuru | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Greenlander | 18/1 open 9.50 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Ground Force | 300/1 open 151.00 | 250/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 250/1 open 151.00 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 300/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Jenny Rae | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Light Fingered | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Hidden Beyond | 17/2 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Little Copper | 125/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Sueboys | 66/1 open 19.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 80/1 open 17.00 | 66/1 open 17.00 | 80/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sontsivka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 133 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sontsivka (SR:156, 1/2) stands out as the class act in this field by a significant margin — a 7-point SR gap over second-best Xochipilli (SR:149) is meaningful in a Class 4 novice with a field full of maidens and low-rated runners. The market has backed this assessment emphatically, shortening 22% since opening to odds-on, and Marco Ghiani (15% strike rate, 931 runners) is a strong booking for a horse Hugo Palmer wants to win. Carrying just 9-7 on good to soft at Kempton AW, there are no weight concerns, and a debut second suggests the horse handled competition well enough to improve and dominate this weaker company. With 11 of 13 rivals carrying SRs below 140 and no credible danger at a realistic market price, this is a straightforward short-price selection. Each-way alternative: Xochipilli. Main danger: Xochipilli — Xochipilli (SR:149, 9/2) is the only other horse with a strong SR and market confidence — slight 8% steamer with Billy Loughnane riding, and a debut fourth suggests considerable untapped improvement possible over this 7f trip.