← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Gilding The Lily
MEDIUM Advised 4/7 SP 8/13F Est. 58%
Mr Fox says
Gilding The Lily (SR 161, 4/7) is emphatically the class standout in a four-runner field — her rating is 8 points clear of the next-best River Nile (SR 153) and 34 points above Star Mirage. The Gosden yard operates at a 25% career strike rate from 784 runners, one of the strongest training operations in the country, and the Form:21 line shows a runner-up on debut followed by a win, exactly the typical progressive novice profile. She carries 9-9 — only 7lb more than the remaining trio off 9-2 — which is a modest penalty for her SR advantage. The market at 4/7 reflects genuine confidence rather than a thin-field default; nothing here has the ability to exploit her two unresolved question marks on distance and going. Each-way alternative: River Nile. Main danger: River Nile — River Nile (SR 153, 4/1) ran at this course for her place (Course:W0P1), is trained by the high-volume Andrew Balding yard at 19% strike rate, and at 8 points below the favourite on SR could exploit any unproven distance or going vulnerability in Gilding The Lily.
Full result
Winner: Gilding The Lily (GB) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gilding The Lily Fox #1 4/7
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2
Star Mirage 7/2
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3
River Nile Fox #2 4/1
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4
Moontune Fox #3 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3