Irish Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 1m0f0y
SR 161 and market confidence at 4/7 make this the class act.
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gilding The Lily | 4/7 open 1.80 | 1/2 | 4/7 open 1.53 | 4/7 open 1.53 | 4/7 | 4/7 open 1.53 | 4/7 Bet365 |
| 2 Moontune | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 River Nile | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Star Mirage | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gilding The Lily owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 161 and market confidence at 4/7 make this the class act.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Gilding The Lily (SR 161, 4/7) is emphatically the class standout in a four-runner field — her rating is 8 points clear of the next-best River Nile (SR 153) and 34 points above Star Mirage. The Gosden yard operates at a 25% career strike rate from 784 runners, one of the strongest training operations in the country, and the Form:21 line shows a runner-up on debut followed by a win, exactly the typical progressive novice profile. She carries 9-9 — only 7lb more than the remaining trio off 9-2 — which is a modest penalty for her SR advantage. The market at 4/7 reflects genuine confidence rather than a thin-field default; nothing here has the ability to exploit her two unresolved question marks on distance and going. Each-way alternative: River Nile. Main danger: River Nile — River Nile (SR 153, 4/1) ran at this course for her place (Course:W0P1), is trained by the high-volume Andrew Balding yard at 19% strike rate, and at 8 points below the favourite on SR could exploit any unproven distance or going vulnerability in Gilding The Lily.