← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Grant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Autocrat
SPECULATIVE Est. 14%
Mr Fox says
Autocrat holds the field's highest SR at 40, carries a light 8-13 which is the joint-lowest burden among the realistic contenders, and has dropped 19lb off his last win mark (MarkMv:-19) — a meaningful concession from the handicapper. His form string 170009 contains a win and a near-miss (1 and 7) suggesting latent ability, and at 8-13 he has the weight advantage over heavier-burdened rivals like Charlie Brow'n (10-1) and Spy (10-1). The entire field sits in the SR 23-40 range — a thoroughly moderate contest — so the SR edge combined with the lightest competitive weight makes Autocrat the marginal pick in a race where any of several horses could win on the day. Each-way alternative: Connecteo. Main danger: Connecteo — Connecteo (SR:38) is a 3-year-old trained by A Oliver (11% strike rate) with Ben Coen aboard (11% strike rate, 754 career rides) — comfortably the strongest trainer-jockey combination in the field — and at only 9-4 carries a light weight that compensates for the poor GoingFit:- flag.
Full result
Winner: Dancing Steve (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dancing Steve
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2
Connecteo Fox #2
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3
Acanto
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4
Tassarolo
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5
Spy Fox #4
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6
Without Love
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7
Charlie Brow'n
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8
Autocrat Fox #1
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9
Zitkala Sa
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10
Mystic Rose
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11
Mapa
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12
Queen Of Astolat Fox #3
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—
Mullacurry Maid
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—
Rio Doce
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—
Duleek Street
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Idomything
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—
Haeret In Pectore
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Autocrat 8TH
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2
Connecteo 🥈 2ND
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3
Queen Of Astolat 12TH
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4
Spy 5TH