Third last time out gives Charlie Brow'n a recent near-miss to build on, but a seventh two starts back suggests inconsistency; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 141 lb, and our rating of 58 leaves him with something to find against the principals.
Form last 6515-73
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR58RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Spy won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, arriving here on a fresh 17-day break carrying 141 lb — the main concern is that unplaced effort last time out, which he will need to put firmly behind him.
Form last 63361-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR59RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Tassarolo is winless in his last six starts, though a third three starts back offers some encouragement; he returns after 20 days and has run over today's trip and going, but 140 lb and a trainer firing at just 4% in the last fortnight are notable drags.
Form last 6558375
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR57RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Placed third last time out on a quick turnaround of 20 days, Dancing Steve arrives with some fitness in his favour and has run over today's trip and going before, though he carries 138 lb and has been winless in his last five starts, limiting optimism from seventh in the ratings.
Form last 6-00083
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR56RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Rated well clear of her mark and ranked second in the field on our figures, Acanto has run over today's trip and going and returns after a 35-day break with fresh legs; yet to score in her last three starts, and a trainer running at just 4% makes confidence harder to hold.
Form last 6549
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR66RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 15th of 17 on our figures, Mullacurry Maid faces a stiff task here, though she does return on a quick turnaround with going experience in her favour and at least arrives fit.
Form last 689-509
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR40RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Rio Doce is winless in his last five starts, with a fourth three starts back the brightest note in a patchy recent sequence, and 84 days off the track raises a fitness query under 133 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 60649/0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR55RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in her last six starts, Mapa faces a stiff task here — ranked 13 of 17 on our figures, she has been unplaced in four of those outings, with a placing four starts back her best recent effort; experience over today's trip and going at least offers some small comfort.
Form last 6030006
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR48RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Connecteo has run over today's trip and going and, with a second in his recent starts offering a clear glimpse of ability, he enters this as a lively danger at a competitive mark of 56; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five outings, and consistency remains the question.
Form last 6-82476
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR58RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in her last six starts, with a best of third three runs back and little else to commend her, Mystic Rose ranks 14th of 17 on our figures and faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns fresh enough on just eight days' rest.
Form last 6755305
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR48RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in her last six starts, Zitkala Sa at least showed some promise with a third three starts back, though eighth last time out is a concern; she has run over today's going before and 23 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, but a 130 lb burden makes life difficult.
Form last 6660368
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR55RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in her last five starts, Queen Of Astolat has been finishing mid-to-rear of late — sixth last time out and eighth two starts back — though she did show some ability with thirds three and four starts back; a trainer firing at just 4% and 129 lb to carry make improvement hard to fancy.
Form last 6-63386
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR53RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Autocrat showed what he is capable of with a win six starts back, and he has experience of both today's trip and going in his favour; the 46-day break is worth noting, but his rating of 70 marks him as the one to beat here.
Form last 6170009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR70RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in his last four starts and returning after a gap of 397 days, Duleek Street faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and our rating of 54 suggests more ability than his official mark of 41 implies.
Form last 689/77-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR54RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in his last six starts, Without Love has at least shown placed form three starts back and four starts back, though his latest eighth suggests he's struggling to build on that consistency; the weight of 131 lb looks a stiff task for a horse rated 49.
Form last 6402268
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR49RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 16 of 17 on our figures, Idomything makes this a tough assignment, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround just six days since her last outing.
Form last 6870600
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR36RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Haeret In Pectore faces a stiff task after 124 days off, though experience over today's going is a minor point in his favour.
Form last 605-506
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR34RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race.
Prices land after the first odds sync.
Connecteo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (21) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
N/AA OliverBen Coen
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Idomything
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
N/A · Thomas Cleary✓ Value Signal
Autocrat
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
N/A · P Sweeney◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Autocrat holds the field's highest SR at 40, carries a light 8-13 which is the joint-lowest burden among the realistic contenders, and has dropped 19lb off his last win mark (MarkMv:-19) — a meaningful concession from the handicapper. His form string 170009 contains a win and a near-miss (1 and 7) suggesting latent ability, and at 8-13 he has the weight advantage over heavier-burdened rivals like Charlie Brow'n (10-1) and Spy (10-1). The entire field sits in the SR 23-40 range — a thoroughly moderate contest — so the SR edge combined with the lightest competitive weight makes Autocrat the marginal pick in a race where any of several horses could win on the day.
Each-way alternative: Connecteo.
Main danger: Connecteo — Connecteo (SR:38) is a 3-year-old trained by A Oliver (11% strike rate) with Ben Coen aboard (11% strike rate, 754 career rides) — comfortably the strongest trainer-jockey combination in the field — and at only 9-4 carries a light weight that compensates for the poor GoingFit:- flag.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
46-day absence is the longest lay-off among the realistic contenders, and his last run was a '0' — beaten out of sight — raising fitness doubts on return.
Form string 170009: the '1' and '7' are buried in older form; his last three runs read 009, showing consistent failure to land a blow at this level.
Trainer P Sweeney strikes at only 7% and jockey McGettigan (apprentice) at 8% — both below-average stats weaken confidence in delivery on the day.
Spy (SR:38, MarkMv:-60) and Connecteo (SR:38) carry comparably high SRs with far lighter recent form concerns and are significantly fresher in the market.
ShortlistAutocrat, Connecteo, Queen Of Astolat, Spy