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TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

14:10 Ascot Sat 05 Sep 2026 1m3f211y Class 2 Good 9 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Archers Bay silks

Archers Bay

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 30%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Archers Bay (SR 100, 9/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Heyzoom but carries a 9lb weight advantage over that rival (9-9 vs 9-0 is actually 9lb lighter in terms of form book parity — wait, Archers Bay carries 9-9 vs Heyzoom's 9-0, so Heyzoom is 9lb lighter). The critical swing here is the market: Archers Bay has steamed in 13% while Heyzoom has drifted 6% — smart money is clearly moving away from the jolly and onto Archers Bay at 9/2. Archers Bay also brings course form (W1P1 at Ascot) that no other runner can match, and Marco Botti's 16% strike rate with a market mover is a reliable combination. The class rise (↑1) and +7 mark rise are noted concerns, but the Ascot course knowledge and market confidence outweigh them at the price. Each-way alternative: Heyzoom. Main danger: Heyzoom — Heyzoom shares SR 100 and is the clear market favourite at 11/8 — despite a 6% drift it remains heavily supported, and Owen Burrows (18% strike rate) with Saffie Osborne is a competitive booking; if the drift is just routine profit-taking, the class-level evidence still points to this horse as the one to beat.

Verify· #16197

Full result

Winner: Turty Tree (IRE) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Turty Tree silks Turty Tree Andrew Balding · David Probert 14/1
  2. 2 Decade Of Time silks Decade Of Time Fox #3 Jack Channon · George Bass 7/1
  3. 3 Archers Bay silks Archers Bay Fox #1 Marco Botti · Pat Dobbs 4/1
  4. 4 Lord d'Or silks Lord d'Or Andrew Balding · Nicola Currie 33/1
  5. 5 Cape Fear silks Cape Fear Andrew Balding · Jason Watson 20/1
  6. 6 Ancestor silks Ancestor William Haggas · Cieren Fallon 13/2
  7. 7 Guildmaster silks Guildmaster John & Thady Gosden · Robert Havlin 11/1
  8. 8 Heyzoom silks Heyzoom Fox #2 Owen Burrows · Saffie Osborne 13/8
  9. 9 Into The Light silks Into The Light Fox #4 Charlie Appleby · Toby Moore(7) 11/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Archers Bay silks Archers Bay 9/2 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Heyzoom silks Heyzoom 11/8 8TH
  3. 3 Decade Of Time silks Decade Of Time 8/1 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Into The Light silks Into The Light 11/1 9TH